For the week starting 6/13/2011: News You Can Use & Commodity Clues

June 13, 2011 - PRLog -- Last Weeks HEADLINES That Moved Markets

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Data for the End of May and the Beginning of June

From Draught to Floods are In The News You CAN Use (FF4 sees it)

Precipitation Reports and China's Demand Attract the Agricultural Traders
               
EU/SF Trade Brings FX Traders            

Many Traders Unwind the Flight to Quality Trade  

10 Year Note Yields Near 2.95% Attributed to Short Covering (Again Hype comes into Play)

America Spends While China Saves... (Look at Export Data)

Housing Data Continues to Disappoint

35% of Homes on the Market Now are Being Leased Not Sold

Comments and Opinions: Be "Fractal 4 Warned!!"

Typical of a Holiday week volume is light, volatility swings around, and ranges can be sharp. Weather conditions continue to be critical to Ag's I.E. Soft Spring Wheat (Chicago) and corn has plantings delayed due to floods. Hard Red Winter Wheat (K.C.) is having it's problems with drought like conditions. Dramatic and sharp swings in open interest continues as uncertainty grows over European Debt.  I think this will carry forward while Fund Managers typically move to re-balance, as the June Cycle rolls to Sep., QE2 nears it's end and the Third Quarter gets underway.

Stocks and Commodities will have "knee jerk" reactions  to media hype. You can use the
news to try and anticipate how the fundamentals may move markets, or you can
take emotions and headline risk out of your trading. Be "FF4 Armed "

Trade Wisely and With Care ... Pete

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Weekly Release of NEWS YOU CAN USE

Economic Releases (All Times EST)

June 13, through June 17, 2011

   Monday, 06/13/11

•   11:00 AM: 4 week Bill Announcement
•   11:30 AM: 3 & 6 Month Bill Auction

   Tuesday, 06/14/11

•   7:30 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
•   7:45 AM: ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
•   8:30 AM: Producer Price Index, Retail Sales
•    8:55 AM: Redbook
•   10:00 AM: Business Inventories
•   11:30 A.M. 4 W33k Bill Auction
•   Flag Day U.S.

   Wednesday, 06/15/11

•   7:00 AM: MBA Purchase Applications
•   8:30 AM: CPI, Empire State Mfg Survey
•   9:00 AM: Treasury International Capital
•   9:15AM: Industrial Production
•   10:00 AM: Housing Market Index
•   10:30 AM: EIA Petroleum Status Report  
•   Full Moon

   Thursday, 06/16/11

•   8:30 AM: Housing Starts
•   8:30 AM: Current Account
•   8:30 AM: Jobless Claims
•   10:00 AM: Philly Fed
•   10:30 AM: EIA Nat Gas
•   11:00 AM: 3 & 6 Month Bill Announcement  
•   11:00 AM: 30 Year TIPS Announcement
•   4:30 PM: Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply

   Friday, 06/17/11

•   9:30 AM: Quadruple Witching
•   9:55 AM: Consumer Sentiment  
•   10:00 AM: Leading Indicators

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WEEKLY RELEASE OF COMMODITY CLUES

June 13 TO June 17, 2011 (all times CEN)

   Monday, 06/13/11                                                                                                                

•   Export Inspections 10:00 A.M.
•   Weekly Crop Progress 3:00 P.M.
•   LTD: June BAX, BONO, CME Currencies,

   Tuesday, 06/14/11  

•    7:30 AM: Business Inventories, NOPA Crush, PPI, Retail Sales
•   3:30 PM: API Energy Reports
•   FND June U.S. Dollar
•   LTD June CD, Hogs
•   LTO June Aussie Bonds, Hogs
•   Flag Day

   Wednesday, 06/15/11

•   7:30 AM: CPI, Real Earnings
•   8:15 AM: Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production
•   EIA Energy stocks 9:30
•   FND July ICE Brent Crude
•   LTD: June  Aussie Bonds, New Zealand 90 Day Bills
•   LTD Futures and Options: Russian Ruble, Short Sterling, S&P- GSCI, Jul ICE Crude
•   Full Moon

   Thursday, 06/16/11

•    Housing Starts 7:30
•   Export Sales 7:30
•   Weekly Claims 7:30
•   EIA Gas storage 9:30
•   LTD:  Indices

   Friday,  06/17/11

•    Dairy Product Prices  7:30
•   Cattle on Feed, Milk Production 2:00 PM
•   Quadruple Witching

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Government and Exchange dates can change without notice, for 2 Yr. Notes Dates are Subject to change based on U.S. Treasury choice on Note Issue Day.

Quant Trade LLC provides this for informational purposes only. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable and accurate to the best of our knowledge. Quant Trade LLC cannot guarantee its accuracy. This information is subject to change at any time. All information contained should be independently verified. Quant Trade does not accept any liability for any loss or damage caused by reliance on this information.

Risk Disclosure Statement:

The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. You may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain a position in the commodity futures market. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We recommend that you learn more from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or the National Futures Association.

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