7/11/2011 Weekly News You Can Use

July 11, 2011 - PRLog -- Last Weeks HEADLINES That Moved Markets

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Events and Headlines

Moody's Downgrades Portugal


Volume Seasonally Light


Retail Sales Better than Expected


Government Eases Foreclosure Rules


Investors Still Worry Over Debt Ceiling


Nothing Good On The Employment Stats


Non-Farm Payrolls UP 18,000 Expectations Were 125,00

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Comments:

The markets are a bit choppy and thin as we go further into the summer. Most commodities have come back a bit but again this is light volume.

Pushing prices higher are concerns the weather could turn unfavorable for crops after favorable conditions recently gave soybeans a boost. November deliveries will be interesting. Traders are adding risk premium to the market in case excessive heat, dryness or rains develop before the autumn harvest, many analysts believe.


Weather Service:
Drought In Texas, Oklahoma Unlikely To Ease In 2011.

Packer demand gives a boost to Live Cattle and Feeders as well.

Many traders still wondering about the debt ceiling coming due in August. Keep your eye out for releases as that nears. President Obama to hold new talks Sunday. The problems in Europe continue. Could it kill the Euro currency? Soros thinks it may. I continue to follow the Swiss Franc as traders are using it and Aussie as a flight to quality.


10 Year Note yield is back over 3%. If the yield falls below 3% again that could kick of talks of a double dip again.

Strong stocks have been seen the last couple of weeks as demand strengthens on a retail level. Unemployment numbers very disappointing as the rate goes to 9.2. I think many were expecting much better numbers due to the good stats released from the ADP report. It was expected to be up 125,000 but comes in at only 18,000. This, I think, can change the dynamics of the debt ceiling talks. Wholesale Trade down 0.2% further bringing into the picture ideas of further stimulus.

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" I think you're getting warning shots around the world and I think we ought to pay heed."

Leo Melamed
Director and Chairman Emeritus
CME Group, Inc

Trade Wisely and With Care ... Pete

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Weekly Release of NEWS YOU CAN USE

Economic Releases (All Times EST)
July 11, through July 15, 2011


   Monday, 07/11/11

•   11:00 AM: 4 week Bill Announcement
•   11:30 AM: 3 & 6 Month Bill Auction

   Tuesday, 07/12/11

•   7:30 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
•   7:45 AM: ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
•   8:30 AM: International Trade
•    8:55 AM: Redbook
•   11:30 A.M. 4 Week Bill Auction, 3 Year Note Auction
•   2:00 PM: FOMC Minutes

   Wednesday, 07/13/11

•   7:00AM: MBA Purchase Applications
•   8:30 AM: Import and Export Prices
•   10:00 AM: Ben Bernanke Speaks
•   10:30 AM: EIA Petroleum Status Report
•   1:00 PM: 10-Year Note Auction  
•   2:00 PM: Treasury Budget

   Thursday, 07/14/11

•   8:30 AM: Retail Sales, Producer Price
•   830 AM: Jobless Claims
•   9:45 AM: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
•   10:00 AM Business Inventories
•   10:30 AM: EIA Nat Gas
•   11:00 AM: 3 & 6 Month Bill Announcements, 10-Year Tips Announcement
•   1:00 PM: 30 Year Bond Auction
•   4:30 PM: Money Supply, Fed Balance Sheet

   Friday, 07/15/11

•   7:30 AM Consumer Price Index, Real Earnings
•   8:15 AM Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production
•   Full Moon

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WEEKLY RELEASE OF COMMODITY CLUES

“Praemonitus, Preaeumnitus”

Quant Trades’ Version; 4WARNED IS 4ARMED

July 11 to July 15, 2011 (all times CEN)

   Monday, 07/11/11                                                                                                                          

•   Export Inspections 10:00 A.M.
•   Weekly Crop Progress 3:00 P.M.
•   LTD: July OJ
•   LTO: Aug ICE Brent

   Tuesday, 07/12/11  

•   7:30 AM: U.S. Trade balance
•   730 AM:  Crop Production, USDA Supply Demand
•   3:30 PM: API Energy Reports
•   FND: July ICE Gas Oil
•   LTD: July ICE Gas Oil

   Wednesday, 07/13/11

•   EIA Energy stocks 9:30

   Thursday, 07/14/11

•   730 AM: NOPA Cash Crush  
•   7:30 AM: Business Inventories, PPI, Retail Sales, Export Sales, Weekly Claims  7:30
•    Gas storage 9:30
•   FND: August ICE Crude
•   LTD: July U.S. & Canadian Grains , Aug ICE Brent
•   LTO: July S&P, Can 60, SMI

   Friday,  07/15/11

•   7:30 AM: Dairy Product Prices  
•   730: AM: CPI, Real Earnings
•   8:15 AM: Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
•   FND: July London Cocoa
•   LTD: July CAC, Hogs, BEX, Lumber, Single Stocks, Aug London White Sugar
•   LTO July Aussie 90 Day Bills, Butter, Cattle, Bellies
•   LTD: Aug ICE Cocoa, LONDON White Sugar
•   LTD: July Aussie Bonds, CAC 40, Euro Yen, TIBOR, Dax
•   CME Index, FTSE 100, Swaps, Value Line
•   Full Moon

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Government and Exchange dates can change without notice, for 2 Yr. Notes Dates are Subject to change based on U.S. Treasury choice on Note Issue Day.

Quant Trade LLC provides this for informational purposes only. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable and accurate to the best of our knowledge. Quant Trade LLC cannot guarantee its accuracy. This information is subject to change at any time. All information contained should be independently verified. Quant Trade does not accept any liability for any loss or damage caused by reliance on this information.

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The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. You may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain a position in the commodity futures market. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We recommend that you learn more from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or the National Futures Association.

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