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Follow on Google News | Indonesia Telecommunications Market Report5-year telecommunications forecast for Indonesia.
By: Sunil Nair Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for Indonesia's telecommunications industry. Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies in Indonesia. The Indonesia Telecommunications Report has been researched at source in 2006 and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2011; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational handset manufacturers and equipment vendors, domestic fixed-line and mobile operators, and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments. Indonesia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry in Indonesia. Key Benefits of Report : Benchmark It's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast for Indonesia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indonesian telecommunications market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in Indonesia's Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Indonesia. Exploit Latest Competitive Indonesian Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage Executive Summary Summary of It's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter. Market Overview At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets. Business Environment Rankings It provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country’s business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to It’s political and economic risk ratings. It 5-Year Industry Forecast Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants; Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast It forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Competitive Landscape & Rankings Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts. Company Profiles & SWOTS Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary The Sector At A Glance Key Insights On The Telecommunications sector of Indonesia A look at the composition of leading Indonesian telecoms operator Telkom’s revenues tells the story of the local market. Whilst fixed revenues contributed 40% of the telco’s income in 2001, today this figure stands at about 20%. Meanwhile, the operator’s mobile unit now contributes 40% of revenues, whilst 16.5% are now accounted for by data and internet services. This represents quite a switch in consumer demand towards the popularity of wireless, voice and, increasingly, non-voice value added services, and even high-speed broadband internet access. Despite these positives, growth is not as it might be in Indonesia’s telecoms market (and certainly not in the fixed-line sector), whilst even the rise of the mobile market in 2006 has been a little disappointing. It points to a weak infrastructure, investor concerns over security, corruption and taxation levels, and a lack of competition for this failure for Indonesia to live up to expectations. It’s latest forecasts have been amended radically. With regards to fixed-line, the direction of change is downwards. We see no evidence of fixed line growth despite the government’s USO programme. Where we do see some tentative growth, however, is in the nationwide CDMA-based fixed wireless services offered by Telkom, Indosat, Bakrie and Mobile-8. The last two alternative operators were awarded national licences during the last quarter, in what amounts to an admission from the government that it is failing to improve on fixed-line deployment in Indonesia’s most remote areas. Partly as a result of fading interest in fixed-line usage, Telkom has decided to spin off its CDMA Flexi services into a separate unit, whilst it has also suggested that it would look at expanding into overseas markets, either elsewhere in Asia, or in Africa. Following a slow 2006 for Indonesia’s mobile market, with an estimated y-o-y growth of 24%, we expect the market will take off in 2007, helped by a penetration rate still below 30% and a youthful population. It projects Indonesia will have 100mn wireless subscribers by mid-2009. Exponential growth in Indonesia’s embryonic 3G market suggests there is consumer demand for high-speed data and VAS. With Telkomsel gaining nearly 1mn subscribers in its first four months of operation, we forecast y-o-y growth of 266% in 2007, taking the country’s 3G subscriber base to 3.7mn. The launch of 3G networks from Excelcomindo and Indosat towards the end of 2006, and expected deployment from Hutchison and NTS in 2007, should push growth even further. It’s Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings place Indonesia in 10th position, one place down from last quarter. Limited investor confidence and the current lack of competition in Indonesia’s market have caused this decline. The dominance of Telkom and its mobile unit Telkomsel does not encourage new investment, although consumer demand in the country’s high-growth mobile market should do so. Affordability also remains a very real issue in the sustainability of any rapid take-up in Indonesia’s next generation telecoms markets. For more information kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/ Website: www.bharatbook.com End
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