New market study, "Brazil Freight Transport Report Q1 2011", has been published

Jan. 6, 2011 - PRLog -- Brazil is growing rapidly but its infrastructure to carry freight is still poor and requires rapid development. In general, the Brazilian market has appeared to be strongly supportive of the local freight transport sector. The country's GDP expanded at the fastest rate in 15 years and is expected to be 6.0% for 2010.

Dilma Rouseff of the ruling office Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) was elected president in October, 2010 after her victory in a run-off poll, when she beat Jose Serra of the centrist opposition PSDB with 56% of the vote against 44%, after failing to beat him in the first round. Increased infrastructure spending is thought to be on her agenda.

Recent economic reports have noted that Brazil's airport infrastructure is still lagging behind demand. In 2008 and 2009, the air freight industry was shaken by capacity, air traffic control and safety problems. However, BMI has noted that a process of gradual improvement is underway. We project that air cargo volume will grow by 7.6% in 2010, following a -12.4% slump in 2009.

Brazil's main ports are bouncing back after the decline in 2009. For 2010, BMI forecasts that volume at Santos which is the county's main port will grow by a strong 12.3%. For the rest of our five-year forecast period to 2014, the port will be at the centre of Brazil's dynamic trading activity. We predict annual average volume growth of 10.6% to 2014. At the southern Port of Itajai growth will also be strong. Last year was not a typical year, with volumes rising sharply following a fall caused by flooding damage at the Teconvi terminal in late 2008. However, for 2010 we project tonnage to increase by 19%.

The government is considering new rules to boost competition in the rail sector. Total tonnes carried by rail, fell by -8.1% in 2009, are expected to surge by 18.8% in 2010.

In real terms, Brazil's trade slumped by -10.9% during last year's global recession but it is set to bounce back very strongly in 2010 with 20.3% growth. As domestic demand powers ahead, imports should decisively lead the way with growth of 31%, while exports will grow by a more modest 8% in 2010. For 2011, the expectation at BMI is that exports will increase to 12.8% but imports will fall to 14% as domestic consumer spending declines giving a real growth in total trade of 13.5%. An overly strong consumer boom in 2010 would increase demand for freight transport, but it is likely to be short-lived and be followed by slower growth in 2011. BMI does not expect a major double dip recession to hit Brazil in 2011 or that China will massively reduce its consumption.

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Brazil Freight Transport SWOT
- Brazil Political SWOT
- Brazil Economic SWOT
- Brazil Business Environment SWOT
Industry Trends and Developments
- Multimodal/Logistics
- Road
- Rail
- Air
- Maritime
Market Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Air Freight
- Table: Air Freight
- Maritime Freight
- Table: Maritime Freight
- Rail Freight
- Table: Rail Freight
- Trade Overview
- Table: Trade Overview
- Table: Key Trade Indicators
- Table: Brazil's Main Import Partners (US$mn)
- Table: Brazil's Main Export Partners (US$mn)
Macroeconomic Overview
- Table: Brazil - Economic Activity
Business Environment
- Legal Framework
- Labour Force
- Foreign Investment Policy
- Tax Regime
- Security Risk
Political Outlook
- Domestic Politics
- Long-Term Political Outlook
Company Profile
- America Latina Logistica
- GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes
- Santos Brasil Participacoes S.A
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Transport Industry
- Sources

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.