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Follow on Google News | "Brazil Agribusiness Report Q1 2011" is now available at Fast Market ResearchRecently published research from Business Monitor International, "Brazil Agribusiness Report Q1 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
Key Views * Soybean production growth to 2014/15: 26% to 86mn tonnes. This will be mainly due to improving yields, a greater area planted and increasing domestic demand, particularly for soybeans as an alternative fuel, as well as for poultry feed. * Corn consumption growth to 2015: 19% to 54mn tonnes. Increasing yields will come from greater use of genetically modified corn seeds. Another key growth driver will be corn's use as livestock feed, which has been increasing steadily in recent years. * Sugar production growth to 2014/15: 26% to 44mn tonnes. Investment in research should lead to higher yields and the area under production keeps expanding. The area of land used for agriculture in Brazil is still growing and some of this is likely to go to sugar cane given the strong demand for sugar and ethanol. * 2010 Real GDP Growth: 6% (up from -0.2% in 2009; predicted to average 4.3% from 2010 until 2015). * Consumer Price Inflation: 5.2% year-on-year in October 2010 (up from 4.2% y-o-y in October, 2009). Industry Developments Consumption of fluid milk and processed dairy products in Brazil is fairly low by developed market standards, but is forecast to grow considerably in the coming years as rising incomes and improved infrastructure bring dairy products within reach of more of the population. The spread of modern retail out from the richer south into the north and north east will also boost dairy goods sales. However, the remainder will likely be sold informally in independent shops or at the side of the road. Milk sold informally will often not have been pasteurised or been subject to government quality checks, leading to an increased risk of contaminated dairy products. Brazilian sugar giant Cosan's investment into expanding its private terminals at Santos - Brazil's largest port and responsible for most of the country's sugar exports - could see more sugar exported in 2011/12 by preventing the export delays seen in 2010/11. However, there is a risk that any delays to the project could see terminal capacity limited during the harvest (depending how the expansion is conducted), which would mean that there is even less sugar sitting in the terminals, and thus prices could soar well beyond their current levels as sugar throughput is reduced and the queue of ships increases. On October 8, we revised down our Brazilian corn forecast by 15% to 52mn tonnes for the 2010/11 season, as the area planted is expected to fall due to more acreage being devoted to soybean production. Elevated soybean prices and continued Chinese demand have persuaded farmers to plant soy instead. The decrease in Brazilian production should not have an especially significant impact on the global corn market over the short term, as record US output should keep the global market well supplied. Over the medium term, Brazil's decrease further validates our long-held view of corn as an outperformer within the grains complex. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Brazil Agriculture SWOT - Brazil Political SWOT - Brazil Economic SWOT - Brazil Business Environment SWOT Industry Forecast Scenario - Brazil Livestock Outlook - Table: Brazil - Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Pork Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Pork Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade - Brazil Cocoa Outlook - Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production, Consumption & Trade - Brazil Coffee Outlook - Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption - Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption - Brazil Sugar Outlook - Table: Brazil - Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade - Brazil Dairy Outlook - Table: Brazil - Milk Production & Consumption - Table: Brazil - Butter Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Milk Production & Consumption - Table: Brazil - Butter Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Whole Milk Powder Production, Consumption & Trade - Brazil Rice Outlook - Table: Brazil - Rice Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Rice Production, Consumption & Trade - Brazil Grains Outlook - Table: Brazil - Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Corn Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Barley Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Corn Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Barley Production, Consumption & Trade - Brazil Soybean Outlook - Table: Brazil - Soybean Production, Consumption & Trade - Table: Brazil - Soybean Production, Consumption & Trade Competitive Landscape - Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders - Table: Agribusiness Suppliers - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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