"Country Forecast Iran October 2011 Updater" added to ReportBuyer.com

Nov. 9, 2011 - PRLog -- ReportBuyer.com has added a new report http://www.reportbuyer.com/go/EIU04299
Summary of Report  -

Overview

The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the two heads of the Iranian regime, the supreme leader (and ultimate religious and political authority), Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and the hardline and confrontational president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, to retain their posts.

However, the ties between the two will become increasingly frayed, as the supreme leader struggles to manage the political fallout from the actions and statements of the erratic and interventionist president. A parliamentary election is due in 2012, and the next presidential election is scheduled for 2013. The supreme leader will try to ensure a relatively trouble-free election for president after the 2009 election. We do not expect a deal between the US (and its allies) and Iran over the latter's nuclear programme to be forthcoming, but the US will continue to tighten sanctions following the unveiling of an alleged Iranian-sponsored assassination plot. Iran's external and fiscal accounts will reflect falling oil prices in 2012-13 but sill remain in surplus.

The current-account balance will post an average surplus of 2.2% of GDP in 2012-13, and the net fiscal balance (after payments to Iran's oil stabilisation fund) will register a small surplus of 0.5% of GDP in 2012 before recording a deficit in 2013. Real GDP growth will remain relatively sluggish, averaging 2.6% a year in 2012-16, insufficient to improve the unemployment rate.

Country Forecast Iran October 2011 Updater: , is available at:
http://www.reportbuyer.com/countries/middle_east/iran/cou...

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