Peru Power Report Q2 2011: New research report available at Fast Market Research

May 11, 2011 - PRLog -- The newly published Peru Power Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for 3.08% of Latin American regional power generation by 2015, with supply and demand broadly in balance after system losses etc. BMI's Latin America power generation assumption for 2010 is 1,212 terawatt hours (TWh), an increase of 5.39% over the previous year. We are forecasting a rise in regional generation to 1,438TWh by 2015, representing an increase of 14.44% during 2011-2015.

Latin American thermal power generation in 2010 is assumed by BMI to have been 449TWh, accounting for 37.0% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 496TWh, implying 8.52% growth during 2011-2015, trimming the market share of thermal generation to 34.5% thanks to environmental concerns that are promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear power. Peru's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 13.7TWh, or 3.05% of the regional total. By 2015, the country is expected to account for 3.85% of regional thermal generation.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/152725_peru_power_report_q2_20...
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For Peru, oil will have been the dominant fuel in 2010, accounting for an estimated 50.1% of primary energy demand (PED), followed by hydro-electric at 25.8%, gas at 20.4% and coal at 3.1%. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 790mn tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) by 2015, representing 14.53% growth during 2011-2015. Peru's estimated 2010 market share of 2.65% is set to rise to 2.67% by 2015.

Peru is ranked fifth, comfortably ahead of Mexico, in BMI's updated power sector Business Environment Ratings, reflecting its power consumption growth prospects, privatisation progress, competitive landscape and regulatory framework. Country risk factors are largely supportive, but the five-point lead held by Argentina means that Peru may struggle over the near term to move any higher up the rankings.

BMI is forecasting Peruvian average annual real GDP growth of 5.17% between 2011 and 2015, with an increase of 6.20% assumed for 2011. The population is expected to expand from 29.5mn, to 31.2mn over the period, with GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita forecast to increase by 47% and 16% respectively. The country's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 31.7TWh in 2010 to 40.4TWh by the end of the forecast period. This results in a broadly-balanced power market, assuming average annual growth (2011-2015) in electricity generation of 4.7%.

Between 2011 and 2020, we are forecasting an increase in Peruvian electricity generation of 45.5%, which is above-average for the Latin America region. This equates to 21.5% in the 2015-2020 period, up from 19.8% in 2011-2015. PED growth is set to rise from 15.9% in 2011-2015 to 16.1% in 2015-2020, representing 39.9% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 5% in hydro-power use during 2011- 2020 is one element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 178% between 2011 and 2020 as gas usage increases. More details of the longer-term BMI power forecasts can be found later in this report.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Peru Power Business Environment SWOT
- Peru Political SWOT
- Peru Economic SWOT
Industry Overview
- Global
- Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015
- Latin America
- Table: Latin America Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Latin America Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm)
- Table: Latin America Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Latin America Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh)
Market Overview - Peru
- Primary Energy Demand
- Power Generation
- Power Consumption
- Regulation And Competition
- Pricing
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Latin America Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Latin America Power Business Environment Ratings
- Peru Power Rating - Overview
- Rewards
- Risks
- Legal Framework
- Infrastructure
- Labour Force
- Foreign Investment Policy
- Tax Regime
- Security Risk
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Peru Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-Electric
- Renewable Energy
- Power Costs
- Transmission
- Table: Peru Power Sector, 2008-2015
- Table: Peru Thermal Power, 2008-2015
- Table: Peru Non-Thermal Power, 2008-2015
- Table: Peru Power Costs, 2008-2015
- Assumptions And Methodology
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Long-Term Power Outlook
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Peru - Economic Activity
Power Outlook - Long-Term Forecasts
- Global Snapshot
- Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020
- Latin America
- Table: Latin America Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe)
- Table: Latin America Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Nuclear Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Peru Country Overview
- Methodology And Risks To Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
- Electroperu
- Endesa/Edegel
- Duke/Egenor
- GdF/Enersur
- EGE San Gaban
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1527...

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.