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September 2023

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88 views, By Edward Jones
For most of 2023, investors have got the best of both worlds as it relates to the evolving macroeconomic backdrop – above-trend economic growth supported by a resilient consumer, and still-high but steadily declining inflation.
73 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways After a batch of softer employment figures two weeks ago, data last week offered a still-bright picture of the economy, with productivity and ISM services figures both consistent with ongoing growth.A steepening of the yield curve and...
165 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways This past week, key datapoints around the U.S. jobs market presented a unified message: There are early signs of softening ahead in the labor market.
107 views, By Edward Jones
Last year, Fed Chair Powell dashed hopes for a swift end to the Fed's rate hikes.
127 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: After a steady rally from March through July, the market's mood has shifted more recently, with stocks falling last week, continuing what has been a rather weak August so far.
104 views, By Edward Jones
Some caution after a strong rally seems reasonable here After a remarkably strong rally to start the year, markets have given back a bit in August thus far, with the S&P 500 down around 3% since its recent high on July 31.
128 views, By Edward Jones
Fitch downgraded U.S. government credit, shining a spotlight on the growing federal debt burden.
104 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: While the move higher in markets was sparked earlier by the enthusiasm around AI (artificial intelligence), more recently the markets seem to be looking at a trifecta of better macro trends: The Fed and other global central banks may be...
118 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: Stocks have rallied sharply off of the October bear-market low, recouping the majority of the 26% decline between January and October of last year.Trends in jobless claims, labor turnover and hourly earnings are, in our estimation,...
133 views, By Edward Jones
At 3%, CPI is now just one-third of where it peaked a year ago.
156 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: After a strong first two quarters of 2023, markets stumbled a bit as we entered the first week of the third quarter.
160 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: Last week closed the books on the first half of 2023. The headliner: it was a strong start. Though gains so far may have flown somewhat under the radar for some investors as the scars of 2022 may not yet have fully healed.
161 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: As investors approach the mid-year point for 2023, there are a few notable trends to highlight: First, the markets overall continue to be remarkably resilient.
144 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: The Fed kept rates unchanged last week, a move we think was appropriate, as inflation is on a downward path and the economy is showing signs of softening.We don't think this confirms the end of rate hikes, but instead offers an opportunity.
116 views, By Edward Jones
The S&P 500 is up about 20% from its mid-October lows, a threshold that could indicate a new bull market.We think the foundation of a new bull market is formed, but an economic slowdown is still possibly ahead of us.
157 views, By Edward Jones
Last week closed the market's books on May and opened the curtain on the latest reading on the jobs market. The former was benign, with the S&P 500 rising a modest 0.4% on the month1.
207 views, By Edward Jones
While stock markets were broadly flat this past week, one sector stood out in that it was up over 4.0% for the week: information technology1.
138 views, By Edward Jones
Key takeaways: The path ahead for the economy is in the hands of the consumer, given 70% of U.S. GDP comes from personal consumption. Consumers have been quite resilient of late, but data confirm that consumers are beginning to get a bit winded.
213 views, By Edward Jones
Key takeaways: The annual increase in consumer prices slowed to below 5% in April for the first time in two years, giving room for the Fed to pause.Unlike growth, inflation and interest rates, political brinkmanship is not a long-term driver of market...
192 views, By Edward Jones
Key takeaways: This past week, markets were faced with a triple whammy of data: A Federal Reserve interest-rate hike (perhaps its last of this cycle), ongoing turmoil in the banking system, and a key jobs report for the month of April.After raising...
235 views, By Edward Jones
The old market adage "sell in May and go away" may have a ring to it, but is it actually valid advice? Unsurprisingly, the answer is no. First, rhymes are not a reliable basis for portfolio decisions.
141 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: The economy remains in expansion, but cracks have recently appeared, suggesting that the labor market and economic activity are about to cool.We expect the Fed to pause rate hikes next month.
179 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: Last week brought encouraging data on inflation, signaling consumer prices remain on a path of moderation after rising to multi-decade highs last year.
244 views, By Edward Jones
As we head into the second quarter of 2023, the strength in the market this year so far has been notable. The S&P 500 is up about 6.5%, while the investment-grade bond market is up a healthy 4.5%.
194 views, By Edward Jones
Key takeaways: Markets wrapped up a volatile but positive first quarter as strength in tech was able to offset weakness in banks.Confidence has increased that the cyclical peak in bond yields is behind us.
139 views, By Edward Jones
Everyone makes mistakes. Learning from them is what really counts. Here are 10 common money mistakes and tips to move past them. "I live within my means.
176 views, By Edward Jones
Volatility from the latest bank failures may make the market's strong start to 2023 feel like a distant memory. While this is a new wrinkle in an old bear market, troubles in the banking sector should not be dismissed.
178 views, By Edward Jones
After a strong rally to kick off 2023, renewed inflation concerns have sparked worries of extended rate hikes, weighing on equity-market performance, including a pullback last week that has left the S&P 500 slightly in positive territory for the...
139 views, By Edward Jones
After a strong start to the year, market volatility in both stocks and bonds seems to have returned.
155 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: Markets declined last week as incoming inflation data have prompted a renewed lift in interest rates and adjusted market expectations around further Fed rate hikes this year.
218 views, By Edward Jones
Key Takeaways: The economy started the year on a solid footing.

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