www.USADecides.com – Battleground States show Race Tightening Following the Conventions
SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA (August 31st, 2020). As of today, the the website (https://www.usadecides.com)
Following the Democratic and Republican Party Conventions, USADecides.com analyzed polls from six Battleground States: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The aggregate of polling from these six States over the past thirty days, shows increased support for Donald Trump of 2%, and a decline in support for Joe Biden of 1%. A swing towards Donald Trump of between 2.5% and 3% (margin of error is 1%).
It is too early to tell if the swing towards Donald Trump will be sustained or whether support will flatten out. The most significant move towards Donald Trump was recorded in Michigan (a net gain of 5.2% for Donald Trump) and North Carolina (net gain of 4.8% for Donald Trump).
Polling over the next four weeks will reveal the pattern, and then the Presidential Debates are scheduled to start on September 29th.
Details of the six Battleground States are listed here:
Arizona has Biden at 48.1% and Trump at 45.9%: a swing of 1.5% towards Trump, over 30 days.
Florida has Biden at 49.1% and Trump at 45.4%: a swing of 2.5% towards Trump, over 30 days.
Michigan has Biden at 47.4% and Trump at 44.8%: a swing of 5.2% towards Trump, over 30 days.
North Carolina has Biden at 47% and Trump at 47.3%: a swing of 4.8% towards Trump, over 30 days.
Pennsylvania has Biden at 49% and Trump at 44.3%: level over the past 30 days.
Wisconsin has Biden at 48.1% and Trump at 44.6%: a swing of 1.5% towards Trump, over 30 days.
The official stance today is: "The Race is Narrowing: with a Post-Convention Bump in favor of Trump"
USADecides welcome links to the website and analysis – they are an independent, small site, tracking this election.