ChiXi Consultants – US Economic Update – Economy Grows Faster Than Expected
The US economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.5% in the third quarter of the year, official figures have shown.
But lower exports weighed on growth, after a surge earlier in the year as firms rushed shipments to beat tariffs.
The 3.5% gain marked a slowdown from the 4.2% pace in the second quarter, but was better than the 3.3% expansion economists had predicted.
"Growth downshifted a bit in Q3 and we look for some further slowing in the quarters ahead," analysts at ChiXi Consultants wrote in a note to clients.
"That said, the US economy continues to grow in excess of the rate that most analysts consider to be its long-run potential growth rate."
The US economy is expected to grow at about 3% in 2018 - which would be the fastest rate in more than a decade.
The pick-up comes as unemployment rates hover near record lows, and government policies, including a $1.5tr tax cut and expanded military budget, fuel spending.
In the third quarter, consumer spending - which accounts for more than two thirds of output - grew at an annual rate of 4%. That was up from a rate of 3.8% recorded in the previous quarter.
Overall, gross domestic product in the third quarter was up 3% compared to the same period in 2017.
But the Commerce Department report also contained signs that the environment for growth may be weakening.
Business investment increased at an annualized rate of less than 1%, while housing expenditures fell 4% - the third quarter in a row of contraction.
Exports of goods also fell by 7% in the three months to 30 September, after spiking 13.5% in the prior period.
The decline followed a wave of duties on American-made products that went into effect this summer, prompted by new US tariffs on foreign steel and aluminum, as well as billions of dollars' worth of Chinese goods.
Whilst the continuing trade war with the US and China continues, ChiXi Consultants sees plenty of opportunities within the US markets to take advantage of. To find out more about these and the services ChiXi Consultants offers, contact us today.
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