Creative Investment Research (CIR) Economic Forecast for 2019

The CIR Economic Forecast for 2019 will be released in November, 2018. We discuss, in general, economic indicators for 2019 in light of critical risk factors.
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2019 Forecast


Washington - District of Columbia - US


WASHINGTON - Sept. 30, 2018 - PRLog -- Many economists, billionaires, millionaires, and market experts are forecasting a US economic recession within a couple of years. Other economists are claiming the US economy is "unusually solid, not a bear or a bull, but more like a Rhinoceros."

Who's right?

The CIR Economic Forecast for 2019 will be released in November, 2018. We discuss, in general, economic indicators for 2019 in light of critical risk factors.

1. International trade instability.
2. Domestic cultural instability.
3. US monetary policy.
4. Technology.
5. Environmental.
6. Digital currencies.

Since these risks are not evenly distributed. we detail which sectors and geographies will be less risky, safer (and thus more profitable) than others. We also discuss where to look and what to look for with respect to certain American political institutions and commercial entities. Finally, we discuss timing and synchronicity.

(Our June 11, 2016 Fully Adjusted Return Election Forecast, which correctly predicted Donald Trump's win, can be found at:

An essential economic forecast for anyone wanting more insight on the economic outlook for 2019. We provide summaries covering 1995-2018, with forecasts from 2019 to 2020.

The Creative Investment Research Fully Adjusted Return Forecast for 2019 provides a detailed financial forecast, in an easily digestible format.

This report is an essential forecast of the world's largest economy for marketing, banking and finance professionals worldwide. Packed with data, this report includes investment and business outlook summaries along with a general economic overview and analysis.

Compiled from CIR's extensive track record provides the basis for this research.

As we noted on Oct. 5, 2006, foreshadowing the rise of cryptocurrencies: "competitive advantage with respect to capital access is available to any country with significant economic potential and a modest communications infrastructure." See:

In September, 1998, we opposed the application, approved by the Federal Reserve Board on September 23, 1998, by Travelers Group Inc., New York, New York, to become a bank holding company. In October 1998, in a petition to the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit (Case Number 98-1459) concerning the Travelers Group Inc./Citicorp merger, I cited evidence that growing financial market malfeasance greatly exacerbated risks in financial markets, reducing the safety and soundness of large financial institutions.

Also see:

Global Market Turmoil Graphic - and Financial Crisis Calendar Graphic - Creative Investment Research, Inc., December, 2008 and November, 2009.

CIR's proprietary Fully Adjusted Return methodology provides consistent, reliable forecasts which have been remarkably accurate. We use our specialized knowledge to forecast future economic trends.

We review the historical profile of the US economy.

Our Investment Summary provides a quick buy or sell suggestion for each sector.

Social Factors

By reviewing non-financial social performance indicators, we describe the unique nature of the current state of the economy. By identifying key social performance indicators, we describe unique metrics which others will begin to use to detail US social performance.

For more information, see:  -

William Michael Cunningham
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