Silver Dollar Values Prices Soar, Experts: Gold & Silver Best Inflation Protection, TIPS Do No Good

Any government which will lie to its constituents regarding big things will believe nothing of lying for them about little things like joblessness numbers, the inflation rate, nuclear weapons in Iraq. gold and buy silver today and hold...
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Jan. 18, 2013 - PRLog -- If the "World Snake-Oil Sales Rep Society" had a hall of popularity, good old Uncle Sam would be a charter member. When it comes to smooth-talking folks in to buying debt instruments, he is the slickest around. And Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (Tips) are one of his slickest gadgets.

Here's how the federal government explains Tips: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (Tips) are marketable investments whose principal is modified by changes in the Consumer Price Index. With inflation (a rise in the actual index), the principal increases. Along with deflation (a drop in the index), the principal decreases. How high will silver go? Learn more >>

The relationship in between Tips and the Consumer Price Index impacts both the sum you are compensated when your Tips matures and the amount associated with interest that a Tips pays you every 6 months. Tips pay interest at a fixed rate. Because the rate is used to the adjusted principal, however, interest repayments can vary in amount from one period to the next. In the event that inflation occurs, the interest repayment increases. In the event of deflation, the actual interest payment decreases.

As soon as a Tips matures, you receive the adjusted principal or the original principal, whatever is greater. This provision safeguards you against deflation.
Sounds like a guaranteed winner, right? If inflation rises you're protected, and if deflation happens, you'll still earn interest on the original principal.

When Tips were launched in 1997, my broker recommended them to me. My reaction was, "Okay, I'm the lender, right? And also the amount of the loan, the interest rate, and also the time frame are fixed. The only real variable is the size of the last principal payment based on the rising cost of living rate determined by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the borrower gets to maintain score? I don't think so!"

Let's look at the details. Both interest and principal growth tend to be taxed. If the government computes the inflation and will pay out a net 4%, the buyer must pay federal income tax around the income. That sure appears like a guaranteed way not to maintain inflation!

And the picture will get even worse in today's economic climate. The actual government's version of the inflation rate, which it uses to adjust the actual interest and principal payments, happens to be 3% - but that's really a low estimate. In the last few decades, the federal government has significantly changed the way it calculates inflation. Using the national 1990 method, Shadowstats reports that the accurate inflation rate is really 6.2%, that is a much more realistic figure. In that case, the loss of buying power to rising cost of living is even greater. Not only does the actual investor lose to rising cost of living by being taxed on the earnings, he also loses because the true rising cost of living rate is higher than the national rate. This results in your final principal payment lower than the accurate inflation rate. I would call that the double-barreled loser!

The government has changed it's method of calculating the many times, and that I urge readers to visit John Williams' ShadowStats website to see how. He obviously explains why true rising cost of living is much higher than the numbers the government calculates as well as reports.

I recently spoke with John, and that he believes many consumers are under the impression that the CPI is based on a constant container of goods, and that their particular price changes are measured over time. In his research, he describes substitutions the CPI has made and also the political significance of those modifications.

In 1949, Benjamin Graham wrote a good investment bible called The Intelligent Investor, and many pundits and experts reference his work to justify their own recommendations. Graham passed away before Tips had been introduced, but Jason Zweig has added some significant remarks to the most recent publication of Graham's guide, including a discussion on Tips. How high will silver go? Learn more >>

Because of the taxed nature of Tips, Zweig suggests possessing them inside an IRA as well as other type of tax-sheltered account. He offers the next notes on Tips: In one easy bundle, you insure yourself towards financial loss and the lack of purchasing power. Either directly or even through a fund, Tips are the ideal replacement for the proportion of your pension funds you would otherwise maintain in cash.

For most investors, assigning at least 10% of your retirement property to Tips is an intelligent method to keep a portion of your money completely safe - and entirely beyond the reach of the long, invisible claws of rising cost of living. I would have agreed with the writer when he wrote the book, however times have changed.

Most successful investors have a few things in common. First, they're not blinded through smokescreens and can see things as they really are. Second, they comprehend cause and effect. I suspect Graham, who experienced both of these qualities, would observe Tips for what they really are. When one applies these two principles to Tips, the few conclusions become clear.

Tips will not protect against inflation if they're not really held in a tax-sheltered account. When the government adjusts the principal associated with Tips based on the inflation rate, the actual best an investor can hope for would be to stay even with inflation.
In the event that John Williams' inflation numbers tend to be accurate, a Tips investor risks losing a good portion of their life savings to the ravages of rising cost of living.

Unfortunately, financial planners often perpetuate the myth that Tips adequately control inflation. Recently, when I requested a Certified Financial Planner in a major brokerage firm how he or she protected his clients in the potential ravages of high rising cost of living, he said he recommended Tips. After I asked if they were doing other things, he answered, "Not really." Several of my friends with handled accounts have also said their cash managers "protect" them with Tips.

Many financial organizers simply take all of a customer's financial information and connect it into the company pc, which then produces a report setting out a suggested financial technique. If the person writing the pc program plugged Tips into the method, that's among the items your final report may suggest. If your adviser insists that any of your cash should be invested in Tips, I would definitely ask for a solid explanation.

In my estimation, Tips do the opposite of what they're intended to do. With inflation on the rise plus some creative accounting on the part of the scorekeeper, I believe Tips are a terrible investment. I desire every reader to do his own due diligence. Questioning financial planners and cash managers may lead to some demanding conversations, but the risk of dropping a large portion of your nest egg to inflation warrants making the effort to educate yourself by challenging answers.

Many friends have asked me the things they should invest in to protect themselves against inflation. Regrettably, they're looking for the best easy answer that doesn't exist. Only a combination of investments may accomplish the goal.

I've lastly concluded that any government which will lie to its constituents regarding big things will believe nothing of lying for them about little things like joblessness numbers, the inflation rate, nuclear weapons in Iraq, or even the Vietnam War. Once it will get comfortable lying about the large stuff, the little ones come easy. My suggestion and recommendation is to buy gold and buy silver today and hold for the long term. How high will silver go? Learn more >>
Source:James K. Polk
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Tags:Silver Dollar Values, Silver Prices, Gold Prices, Silver Coins, Gold Coins
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Location:New York City - New York - United States
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