Market Report, "China Defence & Security Report Q3 2011", published

July 18, 2011 - PRLog -- With a military budget second only to the United States, China has developed a strategy for the future and is working towards it despite the impediments of trade embargoes and sanctions. Its economy continues to grow, albeit at a reduced rate, with domestic consumption buoying the country through a time of flagging export profits. China's defence vision includes cyber and space technology. Without the benefit of knowledge sharing it has developed its own techniques and equipment.

Geo-political leadership within the region remains a goal for China. China has carefully observed other countries and learned from their relations with each other. With greater expertise in all areas, China is becoming stronger and better equipped. Relations are currently tense with Taiwan and the US, but appear to be amicable with North Korea. The United States continues to maintain a presence in the region as a peacekeeping force. Russia and Japan each view the emerging capability of China with some concern.

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In a region fraught with old tensions over territory and ideology, an uneasy peace continues with no nation strong enough or wealthy enough to make a stand. Cool partnerships exist in military exercises and trade. China has on many occasions petitioned for a removal of sanctions imposed in 1989 but at the time of writing they remain in place. Despite this obstacle, China has developed a capable range of military defences and maintains a watchful eye on regional affairs and domestic security matters.

Refugees fleeing North Korea remain a concern for China's internal security. Relations with the US, stalled since 2010 over the supply of US arms to Taiwan, received a shaky restart in January 2011 when Secretary of State for Defence Gates visit to China was upstaged by the first test-flight of China's new stealth fighter.

BMI predicts lower real GDP growth in China this year than the consensus view, forecasting 8.3% versus a consensus of 9.5%. The two major growth pillars, trade processing and construction, face significant headwinds: the former from slower growth in global trade (weighted down by the recent Japan earthquake); and, the latter from reduced money supply growth. Current growth momentum indicators also appear to be suggesting growth weakness ahead.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- China Defence Industry SWOT
- China Security SWOT
- China Political SWOT
- China Economic SWOT
- China Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Japan After The Quake
- Global Hotspots: Libya, Iran, Afghanistan, Korea
- Wild Cards To Watch
North East Asia Security Overview
- The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia
- The Evolution Of North East Asia
Security Risk Ratings
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- China's Security Risk Rating
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Asia City Terrorism Index
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- External Security Situation
- Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
- China-US Relations
- China-Japan Relations
- China-Taiwan Relations
- China-Tibet Relations
- China-Korea Relations
- China-Russia Relations
- China-India Relations
- EU Arms Embargo
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Joint Operations And Exercises
- International Deployments
- Table: China's Deployments
- Peace Missions
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Recent Changes
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends And Developments
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: Key Players In China's Defence Sector
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: China's Military Personnel, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: China's Manpower Available For Military Service, 2008-2015 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated))
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2015 (US$mn)
- Defence Trade
- Table: China's Defence Exports, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Table: China's Defence Imports, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Table: China's Defence Trade Balance, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: China - Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Company Profiles
- Chengdu Aircraft Company
- China Aviation Industry Corporation
- China National Nuclear Corporation
- China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation
- China South Industries Group Corporation
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: City Terrorism Rating Methodology
- Sources

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.