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Follow on Google News | New Market Report Now Available: Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Report Q3 2011New Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
In the first two months of 2011, Saudi Arabia's petrochemicals exports grew 6.8% y-o-y to 4.65mn tonnes. Growth was spurred on by rising demand from Asia and increased local production of ethane feedstock. A rise in ethane output was related to higher oil production with crude up 300,000b/d to 8.7mn b/d in February which resulted in increased associated gas production. Ethane is Saudi Arabia's main petrochemicals feedstock, accounting for at least 75% of the total. Saudi Arabia's petrochemicals margins were healthy in 2010, but sales could come under pressure from a moderation in Chinese demand growth. China's annual PE demand is expected to grow by 8-9% in 2011 down from 19% in 2010, but new capacity will reduce imports by up to 14% from the 7.4mn tonnes imported in 2009. BMI believes this will be more at the expense of neighbouring Asian states while Saudi suppliers will be less affected and should benefit from low domestic ethane feedstock costs. ------------------------------------------------------------ Full Report Details at - http://www.fastmr.com/ ------------------------------------------------------------ Saudi Arabia's main weakness is its dependence on commodity petrochemicals and a lack of high performance and speciality grades, which can add value to exports and put the industry in direct competition with producers in Japan and other more mature markets. However, the country is making a concerted effort towards the development of downstream industries with Petro Rabigh's expansion involving the creation of facilities dedicated mainly to the plastics converting industry. Petro Rabigh II will be almost entirely dedicated to value-added downstream activities with 17 new facilities including an aromatics complex with combined capacity for more than 1mn tpa of benzene, toluene and xylenes, as well as plants making thermoplastic olefins, ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA), methyl tert -butyl ether (MTBE), methyl methacrylate (MMA), polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA), acrylic acid and superabsorbents, cumene, phenol, cyclohexanol, caprolactam, nylon-6, hydrogen peroxide and polyether polyols. A final decision on Petro Rabigh II will be made at the end of this year with completion scheduled for the end of 2015. Demand for Saudi petrochemicals export has been led by China, which is seeing better than expect growth in orders. A large proportion of growth is related to inventory restocking and the extent to which this is sustained at this level is conditioned by the growth in the Chinese domestic market as well as the continued recovery in its exports of manufactured goods, which utilise imported petrochemicals. BMI does not believe that China can be relied upon to absorb everything that Saudi Arabia exports and it is likely that producers will become more reliant on the European market over the medium term. By 2015, BMI forecasts ethylene and propylene capacities will rise to 16.52mn tpa and 6.55mn tpa respectively, with Saudi Kayan's commercial operation in 2011 set to contribute most to the increase. Compared with 2010, total PE capacity will rise 20% to 8.86mn tpa, PP will rise 11% and PS, PET and PVC capacities will remain unchanged. In BMI's Middle Eastern Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings, Saudi Arabia is rated as the most attractive country out of the 11 surveyed by some margin, with a score of 76.3 points, up 1.3 points as a result of an improvement in Saudi Arabia's long-term external environment. Nevertheless, increasing capacity has helped to push up Saudi Arabia's score in recent quarters, although this is slightly offset by deteriorating external and financial risk scores. The country is placed ahead of the UAE, which is in second place with 63.0 points, and a cluster of other Gulf countries that cannot compete with Saudi Arabia's feedstock or economies of scale. It is also ahead of Iran, which suffers from poor risk levels. Report Table of Contents: SWOT Analysis - Saudi Arabia Petrochemicals Industry SWOT - Saudi Arabia Political SWOT - Saudi Arabia Economic SWOT - Saudi Arabia Business Environment SWOT Global Overview - Petrochemicals Market Overview - Financial Results Global Oil Products Price Outlook - Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q410-Q411 (US$/bbl) - Table: Oil Product Price Data And Forecasts, 2008-2015 (US$/bbl) Gulf Regional Overview - Table: Announced Ethylene Crackers In The Gulf Region Saudi Arabia Market Overview - Table: Saudi Arabia's Ethylene Capacity - Table: Saudi Arabia's Ethylene Projects - Table: Saudi Arabia's Polyethylene Capacity - Table: Saudi Arabia's Polypropylene Capacity - Table: Saudi Arabia's Cracker Capacity, 2007-2013 ('000tpa) Industry Trends And Developments - Latest Developments - Upstream - Finance - WTO Accession - Saudi Arabia-China Links - Saudi Arabia-India Links - Industry Developments - Related Industries Petrochemicals Business Environment - Table: Middle East And Africa Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings Industry Forecast Scenario - Table: Saudi Arabia's Petrochemicals Sector, 2007-2015 - Macroeconomic Outlook - Saudi Arabia - Economic Activity; 2006-2015 Company Monitor - ChevronPhillips - ExxonMobil - Royal Dutch Shell - Sabic - Sipchem Glossary Of Terms - Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms BMI Methodology - How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts - Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry - Cross Checks - Business Environment Ratings - Table: Petrochemicals Business Environment Indicators And Rationale - Weighting - Table: Weighting Of Indicators About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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