Iran Defence & Security Report Q3 2011: New research report available at Fast Market Research

New Defense market report from Business Monitor International: "Iran Defence & Security Report Q3 2011"
 
June 19, 2011 - PRLog -- Iran's current defence minister Brigadier General Ahmad Vahidi talked in regional media in April 2011 about how important upgrading the country's armed forces equipment is to the strategy of the defence ministry. The articles talk about how the country has become self-sufficient in various areas of military development and manufacture and about successful tests of new systems. The military manufacturing sector is centralised under the Defence Industries Organization (DIO) and the sector operates under severe international sanctions that greatly restrict both imports and exports. Reading between the lines, it is clear that some progress is being made by the indigenous defence sector but as for how much actual capability is being enhanced - it is difficult to tell.

Security issues do surround the development of nuclear facilities. Iran has had the support of Russia in building and testing nuclear plants for many years. Both countries claim that the work going on is purely to provide alternative energy for domestic consumption. Although this may sound odd from a country knee-deep in oil, there are some valid reasons why Iran should look for other sources of energy - not least because it is financially dependent on the export of oil and so using less of it domestically provides more potential exports.

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Nuclear development puts the eyes of the world on the state. An important change in focus of the country's military focus and strategy has been caused by the potential for either Israel or the US to attack Iran's nuclear facilities for pre-emptive purposes. Although we see this as unlikely, it is by no means impossible to foresee. The US and the EU will continue to press forward with increasing economic sanctions and Iran will continue with its nuclear programme while seeking new economic and political allies.

Internally, Iran has some battles to fight too. The most effective armed opposition group is the People's Mujahedin of Iran, known as the Mojahedin Khalq Organisation (MKO). Based in Iraq, it has launched highly effective offensives across the border and, at its peak, numbered some 6,000-8,000 troops. However, Iraq has publically reported that the MKO cannot continue to base itself there and in early 2011, claimed back a large part of the land on which the group's base sat. There has been a distinct lack of recent activity from the group.

There is little to say about the importing and exporting of arms and equipment by Iran at the present time. Where small areas of trade do exist, such as with Russia, they are being condemned by much of the Western world to such an extent that even the Russians are buckling a little under international pressure to cease any military-type trade with Iran.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Iran Security SWOT
- Iran Defence Industry SWOT
- Iran Political SWOT
- Iran Economic SWOT
- Iran Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Japan After The Quake
- Global Hotspots: Libya, Iran, Afghanistan, Korea
- Wild Cards To Watch
Middle East Security Overview
- Politicl Risk Analysis - The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
- The Middle East In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
- Regional Power Dynamics
- Nuclear Proliferation
- External Powers
- Scenarios For The Middle East
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Iran's Security Risk Ratings
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Middle East And North Africa City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Domestic Security Overview
- MKO
- Kurdish Groups
- Sunni Extremists
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Current Strength
- Historical Strength
- Equipment
- International Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
- Table: Background Brief - Iran's Nuclear Programme, 2002-2009
- Delivery Vehicles
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Table: Key Players In Iran's Defence Sector
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: Iran's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel)
- Table: Iran Defence Personnel - Manpower Available For Military Services, 2009-2015 (aged 16-49)
- Government Expenditure
- Table: Iran's Government Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Table: Iran's Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of Government Expenditure, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Table: Defence Expenditure Scenarios - Changing % Of GDP (US$mn)
- Defence Trade
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Iran - Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Company Profiles
- International Companies
- China Great Wall Industry Corporation
- Sukhoi
- Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
- Domestic Companies
- Aerospace Industries Organization
- Ammunition and Metallurgy Industries Group
- Defence Industries Organization
- Iran Electronics Industries
Country Snapshot: Iran Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 1996-2005
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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