Recently released market study: Brazil Defence & Security Report Q3 2011

New Defense market report from Business Monitor International: "Brazil Defence & Security Report Q3 2011"
 
May 31, 2011 - PRLog -- Brazil's National Defence Strategy (NDS) defines the framework for radical reform and enlargement of the country's armed forces over the 20 years to 2030. In essence, the NDS envisages the expenditure of enormous sums of money on the purchase of new materiel and the modernisation of existing equipment, and a dramatic increase in the numbers of people serving in the navy and the Special Border Platoons of the Amazon Military Command. The overall objective is to greatly increase the armed forces' ability to control Brazil's land borders (and, thereby, the entire Amazon basin) and the sea surrounding the country's very extensive, if recently discovered, offshore energy resources.

Over the long term, procurement expenditure should amount to US$128bn. The army is looking to double the size of its fleet of Armoured Personnel Carriers, replacing the existing fleet in its entirety, as it emphasises mobility. Its main battle tanks are to be extensively modernised. Most recent comment on the airforce's procurement plans has focused on the FX2 Fighter Replacement Program, which is a three-way race between the F/A-18 Super Hornet, the Rafale and the Saab Gripen NG.

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Full Report Details at
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However, the airforce is also, among other things, looking to totally replace its fleet of tankers/transport aircraft. In the short-term, the navy is more or less doubling the size of its submarine fleet, and moving towards the development of nuclear submarines. Brazilian defence/aerospace giant Embraer is working with the navy to provide (in conjunction with foreign manufacturers) new planes and helicopters for Brazil's naval aviation.

In the short-term, though, other considerations are dominant. In mid-February 2011, press reports indicated that the government will cut BRL4,000mn (US$2,400mn) from the BRL15,170mn (US$9,100mn) procurement budget for 2011. The main reason for this is that the government is keen to tighten fiscal policy at a time that (very) strong growth in the economy is increasing inflationary pressures. However, defence minister Nelson Jobim has made it clear that procurement spending will increase again - and possibly from 2012 - as the government continues with the purchases and renovations that are required by the NDS.

Whether the military spending helps Brazil's indigenous suppliers of defence/aerospace materiel to increase their exports beyond the levels that they would have achieved anyway remains to be seen. The general growth of the global aviation industry (especially in China) has been a boon for Embraer. However, it is less clear that other Brazilian firms are particularly competitive at a global level, notwithstanding a sound record of supplying equipment to a variety of countries. Nonetheless, it is very clear that the Brazilian firms, as local partners of foreign equipment suppliers, will be major beneficiaries of the massive procurement/ renovation program.

Brazil is a classic example of a large, but, previously, relatively poor, country that is exploiting (reasonably) new found financial stability and a resources boom to undertake a radical reform of its armed forces.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Brazil Security SWOT
- Brazil Defence Industry SWOT
- Brazil Political SWOT
- Brazil Economic SWOT
- Brazil Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Japan After The Quake
- Global Hotspots: Libya, Iran, Afghanistan, Korea
- Wild Cards To Watch
Latin America Security Overview
- Political Risk Analysis: The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
- Latin America In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Security
- Border Disputes And Resource Conflict
- Ethnic Tensions And Indigenous Peoples
- The Role Of Outside Powers
- Key Factors To Consider In The 2010s
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Latin America Security Ratings
- Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Ratings
- Brazil's Security Risk Ratings
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI Americas City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Amazon Basin
- Gun Crime And Violence
- Corruption
- External Security Situation
- Table: Regional Insurgent Groups
- Brazil-Colombia
- Brazil-Paraguay
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- International Deployments
- Table Foreign Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: Brazil's Armed Forces Personnel, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Brazil's Available Manpower For Military Services, 2008-2015 (aged 16-49)
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Brazil's Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Defence Exports
- Table: Brazil's Defence Exports, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Table: Brazil's Defence Imports, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Table: Brazil's Defence Trade Balance, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Brazil - Economic Activity, 2007-2015
Company Profiles
- AVIBRAS Industria Aerospacial SA
- Embraer
Country Snapshot: Brazil Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1584...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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