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Follow on Google News | South Africa Power Report Q2 2011: New research report available at Fast Market ResearchNew Energy market report from Business Monitor International: "South Africa Power Report Q2 2011"
MEA thermal power generation in 2010 is estimated by BMI to have been 1,140TWh, accounting for 93.3% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 1,370TWh, implying 16.1% growth in the 2011-2015 period. This forecasts in a slight reduction in the market share of thermal generation, which will fall to 90.8% - thanks in part to environmental concerns and the promotion of renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. South Africa's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 255TWh, or 22.35% of the regional total. By 2015 it is expected to account for 21.63% of regional thermal generation. ------------------------------------------------------------ Full Report Details at - http://www.fastmr.com/ ------------------------------------------------------------ Coal was the dominant fuel in South Africa in 2010, accounting for an estimated 77.6% of primary energy demand (PED), followed by oil at 19.0% and nuclear with a 2.2% share. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,114mn tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) by 2015, representing 15.9% growth over the period since 2011. South Africa's estimated 2010 market share of 13.99% is set to ease to 13.39% by 2015. The country's estimated 12.5TWh of nuclear demand in 2010 is forecast to reach 16.0TWh by 2015, with its share of the MEA nuclear market falling from 100.0% to 61.5% over the period. South Africa shares third place with Egypt in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, thanks largely to its market size, low level of energy-import dependency and reasonably high proportion of renewables use. The power sector is not yet competitive, with little progress towards privatisation, and the regulatory environment remains relatively unattractive. BMI forecasts that South African real GDP growth will average 3.80% a year in 2011-2015, with 2011 growth of 3.50%. The population is expected to expand from 49.7mn to 52.2mn, with per capita GDP and electricity consumption forecast to rise 49% and 13% respectively. Electricity consumption is set to increase from an estimated 211TWh in 2010 to 255TWh by 2015, maintaining current market tightness if the country can deliver only our forecast annual average of 3.7% generation growth in 2011-2015. Between 2011 and 2020 we forecast an increase in South African electricity generation of 31.1%, the bottom of the range for the MEA region. This equates to 13.7% over 2015-2020, down from 15.3% in 2011-2015. PED growth is set to rise from 12.0% in 2011-2015 to 14.8%, or 28.6% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 218% in hydro-power use - from a very low base - in 2011-2020 is a key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 29% in 2011-2020, with nuclear consumption up 54%. Partial Table of Contents: SWOT Analysis - South Africa Power Business Environment SWOT - South Africa Political SWOT - South Africa Economic SWOT - South Africa Business Environment SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015 - Middle East And Africa Region - Table: Middle East And Africa Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe) - Table: Middle East And Africa Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm) - Table: Middle East And Africa Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe) - Table: Middle East And Africa Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh) Market Overview - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Middle East And Africa Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Regional Power Business Environment Ratings - South Africa's Power Rating - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Foreign Trade Regime - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - South Africa's Power Outlook - Generation - Table: South Africa's Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Table: South Africa's Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015 (US$mn unless otherwise stated) - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Table: South Africa's Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015 - Power Costs - Table: South Africa's Power Costs, 2008-2015 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) - Transmission - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook Macroeconomic Outlook Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020 - Regional Outlook - Table: Middle East And Africa Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe) - Table: Middle East And Africa Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh) - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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