Recently released market study: Taiwan Defence & Security Report Q2 2011

New Defense research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
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May 4, 2011 - PRLog -- In theory, Taiwan remains a renegade province of China that is separate from the mainland, with its position guaranteed by its own substantial armed forces and the support of the US. In practice, economic linkages between Taiwan and the mainland continue to grow, to the benefit of both. The level of trade and investment between Taiwan and China makes any precipitative move - either military or political - ever less likely.

Taiwan's formal status therefore remains, and is likely to remain, ambiguous. There is a balance of political, economic and military forces that hold the status quo in place. A Chinese invasion to take the 'province' by force would cause enormous damage, provoke a US response and alienate China internationally.

Taiwan cannot simply declare independence. Firstly, that would provoke a Chinese response, at the very least economically. Secondly, few countries in the world would choose to recognise any such declaration and cut themselves off from China. Voluntary reunification is supported by only 9% of voters in Taiwan, so is not possible either.

Economically, Taiwan is in a strong position. Its economy grew by an impressive 10.5% in 2010. The future prospects are sound, even though we are retaining our below consensus forecast for GDP growth of 4.3% in 2011.

For some years Taiwan has looked to build an indigenous defence industry, building a skills base in order to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers. Taiwan has been developing: its own fighter aircraft, a main battle tank (MBT), an air defence system, phased surveillance and fire-control radars, and anti-ship and antiaircraft missile systems. Over the course of H210, the government confirmed that its defence industry is working on a new fast-attack missile boat (which is still at the design stage), unmanned reconnaissance drones and cruise missiles. Even so, reliance on foreign high-technology transfer in certain cases - including the aerospace sector - remains high.

The US has been the made military supporter and the main arms supplier to Taiwan. In recent times, China has become increasingly vocal about the supply of advanced weapons systems from the US to China. As a result, the reality is that some equipment, such as F-16 fighters and new submarines may never be delivered.

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Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Taiwan Security SWOT
- Taiwan Defence Industry SWOT
- Taiwan Political SWOT
- Taiwan Economic SWOT
- Taiwan Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- The United States
- China
- Japan And The Koreas
- Russia
- Europe
- India
- Brazil
- Turkey
- Iran
- Egypt, Saudi Arabia And Pakistan
- Terrorism
- Africa
- Space
- Competition
- Wild Card In Global Politics
- Conclusion
North East Asia Security Overview
- North East Asia: The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
- The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia
- The Evolution Of North East Asia
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Taiwan's Security Risk
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Asia City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
- Domestic Politics
- Long-Term Political Outlook
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Structure
- Recent Changes
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends And Developments
- Competitive Landscape
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: Taiwan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel)
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Taiwan's Defence Expenditure; 2008-2015
- Table: Taiwan's Defence Expenditure And % Of GDP, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
- Defence Trade
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: Taiwan - Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Company Profiles
- Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation (AIDC)
- CSBC Corporation, Taiwan
- Chung Shan Institute of Science and Technology
- Combined Service Forces
Country Snapshot: Taiwan Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2000-2030
- Section 2: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2005
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2005 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2005-2012
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at

About Fast Market Research

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For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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Tags:Defence, Security, Asia, North, Armed, Terrorism, Military, Missile, 2008-2015, City
Industry:Defense, Government, Research
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