Market Report, "Germany Infrastructure Report Q2 2011", published

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Germany Infrastructure Report Q2 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
 
March 27, 2011 - PRLog -- BMI View: Growth in Germany's construction sector was largely in line with our expectations in 2010. The market expanded by 1.8% in real terms during the year, just marginally below our expectation of 2.2%. Going forward, however, we anticipate that growth in the construction sector will be subdued, totalling less than 1% per year across the remainder of our core forecast period (2012 to 2015).

Our bearish scenario is predicated on the generic weakness of the German economy:

* The outlook for wider economic growth in Germany across our forecast period is subdued. We anticipate that real GDP growth will register around 2% in 2011, down from an estimate of just over 3.5% in 2010. Across the period 2012-2015, we anticipate that real economic growth will rest within a range of 1.6% to 1.8% per annum.
 * The construction sector will likely underperform the wider economy, in our view. The German government is gearing up for a significant period of fiscal consolidation, as its budget deficit exceeds that stipulated by the Maastricht criteria by some margin. As such, investment in infrastructure will have to be curtailed over the medium to long term.
 * The lack of public funds for infrastructure investment will compound the expected weakness in private sector construction, which in turn is a highly cyclical sector and therefore vulnerable during extended periods of low overall economic activity.


Risks to our forecasts are to both the upside and the downside. If the German economy manages to move back onto a higher growth path, then this will encourage both greater private sector construction activity and allow the government to take a less binding approach to fiscal retrenchment (tax receipts will be higher in the event of stronger growth). However, on the downside, there is the possibility that the global economy will experience a double-dip recession, a scenario that would almost certainly tip Germany's construction market back into a deep recession.

Germany's business environment remains reasonably strong this quarter and ranks in fourth place behind the UK, France and Australia. Germany is one of the stronger performers in this region; however, reduced rewards limit the potential for returns. Germany's highest rating this quarter was for Country Rewards at 81.51. Despite being above 80 this score still places it sixth among its peers for this category and below the average for developed states. Overall the country scored 69.3 for its business environment, which is a touch lower than in the previous quarter.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/128720_germany_infrastructure_...


Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Germany Infrastructure SWOT
- Germany Infrastructure Project Finance SWOT
- Germany Economic SWOT
- Germany Political SWOT
Market Overview
- Germany
Building Materials
- Global Materials
- Building Materials: Global Demand to Hit New Highs In 2011
- Asia to accelerate in 2011
- Table: World's Top Steel Producing Countries (Million Metric Tonnes - MMT)
- Europe Overview
- Outlook Uncertain Despite Some Signs Of Recovery
- Table: Cement Price/Volume Variances Per Region
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Germany Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
- Table: Germany Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
- Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure
- Table: Germany Transport Infrastructure Industry Data
- Table: Germany Transport Infrastructure Industry Data
- Transport Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Transport Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects Table - Transport
- Table: Germany Major Projects - Transport
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
- Table: Germany Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data
- Table: Germany Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data
- Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities
- Table: Germany Major Projects - Energy and Utilities
Residential/Non- Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
- Table: Germany Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data
- Table: Germany Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data
- Residential/Non-Residential Construction Forecast Scenario
- Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects Table - Residential/Non- Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
- Table: Major Infrastructure Projects - Germany Social And Construction
Business Environment
- Germany Business Environment
- Rewards
- Risks
- Regional Overview
- Developed States Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Developed States Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Project Finance Ratings
- Germany Project Finance Ratings
- Design and Construction
- Commissioning and Operating
- Overall Project Finance Rating
- Regional Overview
- Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Developed States
- Table: Design And Construction Rating
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
- Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Germany - Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Political Outlook
- Domestic Politics
- Eurozone Politics
Company Monitor
- Hochtief
- RWE
- Bilfinger Berger
Global Overview
- Table: BMI's Core Views For Global Infrastructure
Methodology
- Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Data Methodology
- New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
- Construction
- Capital Investment
- Construction Sector Employment
- Infrastructure Business Environment Rating
- Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
-

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1287...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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