New market study, "Russia Freight Transport Report Q1 2011", has been published

New Transportation market report from Business Monitor International: "Russia Freight Transport Report Q1 2011"
Feb. 3, 2011 - PRLog -- Road freight strongly recovered in 2010 with 25.3% growth with 6,566mn tonnes carried after a decline of -24% in 2009. Over the medium term, road freight is expected to grow 5.5% in 2010. In terms of road freight carried, there was a 13.3% growth in tonnes-km in 2010 with 203.9bn tonnes-km carried after a 16.7% drop in 2009. Over the medium term, road freight carried is expected to grow 4.7%. Road freight faces potentially the greatest demand as Russian living standards improve and the country develops a wealthier, more consumer-oriented society. However, this potential is held back by the lack of a comprehensive, modern road network across the country.

The Russian economy is heavily reliant on rail freight, which forms the background of its bulk transport system. BMI expects rail freight to have grown 16% in 2010 to 1,284mn tonnes after contracting by 15% in 2009. Rail freight carried grew 9% in 2010 to 2,032.7bn tonnes-km, after the 2009 contraction of 15%. BMI expects rail freight carried to have steady growth of around 4.2% a year over the medium term. The rail sector is on the verge of important structural changes with RZD, the state-owned operator, getting ready to privatise some if its freight rail subsidiaries.

Throughput at the main commercial port, Novorossiysk, fell 1.5% in 2010, to 85.3mn tonnes. This compares with growth of 6% in 2009. The port is expected to recover, with growth of 1.8% in 2010. Over our forecast period, to 2015, the Port of Novorossiysk is expected to grow 1.5%.

On August 26 2010 Russian Railways Joint Stock Company (RZD) created the Second Freight Company (SFC), a subsidiary company to manage freight transport operations. RZD is also considering forming Russian Railways Logistics. RZD have been in talks with SNCF to cooperate in developing goods transport and terminals as part of the Europe-Asia transport corridor. RZD formed a memorandum of understanding with Ansaldo STS. Russia's rail container operator TransContainer in early September, established a new company, TransContainer Asia Pacific, which is aimed at providing a service to transport container cargo from the South Korean ports by sea to the Far East ports of Russia, and then via rail into Russia.

Volga-Dnepr Airlines, a subsidiary of Russia's Volga-Depnr Group, is scheduled to add new generation Il-76TD-90VD freighters to its fleet in 2010 and 2011. AirBridgeCargo Airlines has new twice-weekly flight from Zhengzhou in China to Frankfurt via Moscow and launched a twice-weekly scheduled freighter flight between Russia and France in late September.

Russia's largest tanker company, Sovcomflot Group (SCF), and China's National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) strengthened their collaboration with a long-term cooperation agreement in late November. Maersk Line launched the Marius Express, which will link Morocco to the Russian port of St Petersburg to transport citrus fruit to Russia. A deal to combine Russia's two largest oil terminal operators Novorossiysk and Primorsk would result in the government regaining control over the port of Novorossiysk, which it lost through a privatisation deal in 2006. Gulftainer, the UAE-based ports and logistics group owned by Crescent Group, in late September formed a joint-venture (JV) with Prominvest, the financial and investment arm of state-owned Russian Technologies, to invest in Russian ports.

The Russian economy is in a state of transition, with large current account and fiscal surpluses and is threatened by macroeconomic stability. The global financial crisis has created significant volatility in oil prices, which has elevated macroeconomic uncertainty. Disputes with Russia neighbours could flare up and cause disruptions to freight transport.

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Russia Freight Transport Industry SWOT
- Russia Political SWOT
- Russia Economic SWOT
- Russia Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
- Road
- Rail
- Air
- Water
Industry Trends And Developments
- Multi-Modal/Logistics
- Road
- Rail
- Air
- Maritime
- Inland Waterways
- Catering For Coal Demand
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
- Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2010 (US$/BBL)
- Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts (US$/BBL)
Industry Forecast
- Macroeconomic
- Air
- Table: Air Freight, 2007-2015
- Road
- Table: Road Freight, 2007-2015
- Rail Freight
- Table: Rail Freight, 2007-2015
- Maritime And Inland Waterways
- Table: Maritime Freight, 2007-2015 (throughput, '000 tonnes)
- Table: Inland Waterway Freight, 2007-2015
- Trade
- Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2007-2015
- Table: Trade Overview, 2007-2015
- Table: Russia's Main Import Partners, 2002-2008 (US$mn)
- Table: Russia's Main Export Partners, 2002-2008 (US$mn)
Company Profiles
- Aeroflot
- Russian Railways JSC (RZD)
- Sovcomflot
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Transport Industry
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at

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