"Chile Power Report Q1 2011" is now available at Fast Market Research

Jan. 30, 2011 - PRLog -- The newly published Chile Power Report from BMI forecasts that by 2015 the country will account for 5.40% of Latin American regional power generation. BMI's Latin America power generation assumption for 2010 is 1,209 terawatt hours (TWh), an increase of 5.13% over the previous year. We are forecasting a rise in regional generation to 1,432TWh by 2015, representing an increase of 18.4% during 2010-2015. Latin American thermal power generation in 2010 is assumed by BMI to have been 447TWh, accounting for 37.0% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 496TWh, implying 11.0% growth during 2010-2015, trimming the market share of thermal generation to 34.6% thanks to environmental concerns that are promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear power. In 2010, Chile's thermal generation was an estimated 31.3TWh, or 6.99% of the regional total. By 2015, the country is expected to account for 7.48% of thermal generation.

Oil will have been the dominant fuel in 2010, accounting for an estimated 51% of primary energy demand (PED), followed by hydro at 21%, gas at 11% and coal at 13%. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 780mn tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) by 2015, representing 18.6% growth during 2010-2015. Chile's estimated 2010 market share of 4.61% is set to rise to 487% by 2015. There is no existing nuclear power generating capacity in Chile, but there is growing support for a small-scale project to diversify further the country's electricity supply. As yet, there are no firm plans to build nuclear installations.

Chile is now ranked third behind Brazil and Colombia in BMI's updated power sector Business Environment Ratings, reflecting its power consumption growth prospects, privatisation progress, competitive landscape and regulatory framework. Country risk factors are generally supportive and the one-point gap between the respective scores of Chile and Colombia means that they will continue to battle over second and third places.

BMI is now forecasting Chilean average annual real GDP growth of 3.8% between 2010 and 2015, with an increase of 4.5% assumed for 2011. The population is expected to expand from 17.1mn to 17.9mn over the period, with GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita forecast to increase by 54% and 16% respectively. The country's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 56TWh in 2010 to 67TWh by the end of the forecast period. This results in a small supply surplus after power industry usage and system losses, assuming average annual growth (2010-2015) in electricity generation of 4.0%.

Between 2010 and 2020, we are forecasting an increase in Chilean electricity generation of 44.2%, aboveaverage for the Latin America region. This equates to 19.9% in the 2015-2020 period, down from 20.3% in 2010-2015. PED growth is set to fall from 25.2% in 2010-2015 to 19.0%, representing 49.0% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 18% in hydro-power use during 2010-2020 is one key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 31% between 2010 and 2020. More details of the longer-term BMI power forecasts can be found later in this report.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/111545_chile_power_report_q1_2...


Partial Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Chile Power Business Environment SWOT
- Chile Political SWOT
- Chile Economic SWOT
Industry Overview
- Global
- Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015
- Latin America
- Table: Latin America Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Latin America Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm)
- Table: Latin America Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Latin America Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh)
Market Overview
- Primary Energy Demand
- Power Consumption
- Regulation And Competition
- Pricing
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Latin America Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Latin America Power Business Environment Ratings
- Chile's Power Rating
- Rewards
- Risks
- Legal Framework
- Infrastructure
- Labour Force
- Foreign Investment Policy
- Tax Regime
- Security Risk
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Chile's Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-Electric
- Renewable Energy
- Power Costs
- Transmission
- Table: Chile's Power Sector, 2008-2015
- Table: Chile's Thermal Power, 2008-2015
- Table: Chile's Non-Thermal Power, 2008-2015
- Table: Chile's Power Costs, 2008-2015
- Assumptions And Methodology
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Long-Term Power Outlook
- Macroeconomic Outlook
Power Outlook - Long-Term Forecasts
- Global Snapshot
- Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020
- Latin America
- Table: Latin America Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe)
- Table: Latin America Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Latin America Nuclear Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Chile Country Overview
- Methodology And Risks To Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
- Transelec
- Enersis/Endesa
- Suez/Tractebel
- AES
- Colbun
- Pacific Hydro
Company Profiles
- Enersis

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1115...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

# # #

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.