Recent Study: Kazakhstan and Central Asia Defence & Security Report Q1 2011

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Kazakhstan and Central Asia Defence & Security Report Q1 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
 
Jan. 17, 2011 - PRLog -- Kazakhstan's prospects for future political liberalisation have weakened. On June 15 2010, parliament extended President Nazarbayev's authoritarian powers, granting him life rule and immunity from prosecution. As Nazarbayev is 70 years old, the new powers could serve to kick-start a potential transfer of power to a chosen successor.

Kazakhstan's economic recovery continues to defy market expectations. However, despite its stellar 8.0% expansion in H110, we still expect economic growth to moderate over the coming quarters - given the slowing pace of oil price gains, limited scope for credit expansion within the financial sector, and our expectations for a slowdown in global growth over the medium term. That said, the government's strategy to diversify the oil-dependent economy over the coming years bodes well for longer-term growth.

Kyrgyzstan continues on its shaky road to democracy. The elections on October 10 resulted in no majority winner, so a coalition government will be formed, after negotiations between the five main parties - with nationalists holding the most seats. The fact that the landmark Kyrgyz elections were not accompanied by major instances of violence is a major positive. It bodes well for the country's ongoing recovery from the riots in June, where violence in the South, aimed at ethnic Uzbeks, resulted in hundreds of deaths.

Kyrgyzstan's recent political crisis and ethnic conflict that interrupted the second quarter of 2010 has taken, and will continue to take, its toll on economic activity.

In Tajikistan, real GDP expanded by 6.2% y-o-y in May. The economic recovery remains firmly on track, and in our view, will enjoy a strong bounce in growth this year. Turkmenistan's strategy of diversifying its export routes remains in full swing. As the fifth largest gas exporter in the world, and possessing the world's fourth largest gas reserves, energy dominates its economy. Uzbekistan's economic prospects will remain robust in 2010-11.

In September, more than 3,000 Kazakh, Russian and Chinese troops took part in joint military exercises as part of 'Peace Mission 2010'. This was organised by the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), a six-nation group comprising Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Russia and China. The SCO is focussed on terrorism and drug trafficking in the region. (Source: China Global Times, September 14 2010)

Strategically, the Central Asian states are of ever-increasing importance to the major world powers of Russia, China and the US. The location - neighbouring Russia and China, Iran and Afghanistan - is of major importance in this era.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/109330_kazakhstan_and_central_...


Partial Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Central Asia Security SWOT
- Central Asian Defence Industry SWOT
- Central Asia Political SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Global Hotspots
- Table: Global Election Timetable, 2010 And 2011
- Latin America: More Of The Same
- Western Europe
- Central Europe
- South Eastern Europe
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union
- Middle East: Mostly The Same Old Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: Definitive Elections Pending
- Asia: Accommodating A More Powerful China
- Wild Cards
Global Security Outlook
Security Risk Ratings
- Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
- Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Central Asia Conflict Risk Rating
- City Terrorism Ratings
- Table: BMI's Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index
Central Asia Political Overview
- Kazakhstan
- Kyrgyzstan
- Tajikistan
- Turkmenistan
- Uzbekistan
Central Asia Regional Security
- The Geopolitical Importance Of Central Asia
- Challenges And Threats To Central Asia's Stability
- Table: Eurasian Organisations
- Table: Central Asia Trade Patterns, 2007
- Recent Developments
- Islamist Extremism And Transnational Threats
- Table: Central Asia Insurgent Groups
- Internal Instability
- Inter-Regional Competition And Cooperation
- Regional Organisations
- Land Borders
- Water
- Natural Resources
- Regional Military Relations With Russia, China And The US
- The US Presence
- Operation Enduring Freedom
- Russia And China In Central Asia
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Kazakhstan's Armed Forces
- Kyrgyzstan's Armed Forces
- Tajikistan's Armed Forces
- Turkmenistan's Armed Forces
- Uzbekistan's Armed Forces
- International Deployments
- Table: Central Asia Foreign Developments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Kazakhstan
- Table: Kazakhstan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Kazakhstan's Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Kyrgyzstan
- Table: Kyrgyzstan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Kyrgyzstan's Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Tajikistan
- Table: Tajikistan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Tajikistan's Defence Expenditure, 2008 - 2015
- Turkmenistan
- Table: Turkmenistan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Turkmenistan's Defence Expenditure, 2008 - 2015
- Uzbekistan
- Table: Uzbekistan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Uzbekistan's Defence Expenditure, 2008 - 2015
Macroeconomic Outlook
- Kazakhstan
- Table: Kazakhstan - Economic Activity, 2007-2014
- Kyrgyzstan's Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Kyrgyzstan - Economic Activity, 2007-2014
- Tajikistan's Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Tajikistan - Economic Activity, 2007-2014
- Turkmenistan's Macroeconomic Outlook
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1093...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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