Iraq Defence & Security Report Q1 2011: New research report available at Fast Market Research

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Iraq Defence & Security Report Q1 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
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Jan. 13, 2011 - PRLog -- Seen from an international perspective, the most significant developments in the Middle East in the coming twelve months are likely to focus on Iraq. While the Palestinian issue and the Iranian nuclear program will also command attention, it is in Iraq that the most change is likely to be seen.

Iraq faces the prospect of a security vacuum as the US withdraws its troops from the country. After September 1 2010 the US forces officially assumed an 'advisory' role with the end of combat operations. Their ongoing mission is restricted to training and supporting Iraq's own military and police forces. This ongoing training role aside, the remaining 50,000 US troops in Iraq are scheduled to be withdrawn by the end of 2011.

The ongoing security issue is the need to tackle the insurgency. Although the level of violent activity has declined from its peak there is real fear it will re-emerge in the space left by the departure of foreign forces. There is also a bubbling level of interethnic violence, principally emanating from clashes between the Sunni majority and the smaller but politically powerful Shi'a minority.

Externally, Iraq shares borders with most of the other troubled countries in the region and is a key piece in any regional power dynamic, more so if it is seen to be weak internally.

If the US withdraws it risks leaving a vacuum. If the US decides it cannot leave then any decision to keep forces in Iraq will be deeply unpopular with the US electorate, as well as with many groups in the Middle East.

Economically, Iraq is struggling to make headway in the face of ongoing and serious electricity shortages.

While higher oil prices are providing some shelter the broader economy is struggling to create sufficient jobs or generate enough investment to pull the domestic economy forward, away from the oil industry. Manufacturing and agriculture are both badly affected by the lack of investment and manufacturing is also hampered by the inadequate supply of electricity. The main opportunity for growth outside the oil sector in the next few years will be in the construction sector, which is being supported by government investment and incentives.

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Iraq Security SWOT
- Iraq Defence Industry SWOT
- Iraq Political SWOT
- Iraq Economic SWOT
- Iraq Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Global Hotspots
- Latin America: More Of The Same
- Western Europe
- Central Europe
- South Eastern Europe
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union
- Middle East: Mostly The Same Old Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: Definitive Elections Pending
- Asia: Accommodating A More Powerful China
- Wild Cards
Global Security Outlook
The Future Of NATO
Middle East Security Overview
- The Middle East In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
- The Outlook For The Middle East
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa Defence And Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And North Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Iraq's Security Risk Rating
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Middle East And North Africa City Terrorism Index
Political Outlook
- Internal Security Challenges
- External Security Challenges
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Table: Iraq's Insurgent Groups
- External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2008 (including conscripted)
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Iraq's Armed Forces, 2000-2007 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Table: Iraq Defence Expenditure , 2008-2015
- Macroeconomic Activity
- Table: Iraq - Economic Activity
Company Profile
- Dabin Group
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at

About Fast Market Research

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For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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