New Market Research Report: Pakistan Defence & Security Report Q4 2010

Fast Market Research recommends "Pakistan Defence & Security Report Q4 2010" from Business Monitor International, now available
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Oct. 20, 2010 - PRLog -- The core security issue facing Pakistan is undoubtedly the militant insurgency that was initially based in the northern tribal lands near the Afghan border but is now reaching into other, central, areas of the country.

Despite gains by the Pakistan military in both the Swat Valley and South Waziristan, there seems to be an increase in terrorist attacks across the country. In all probability, Pakistan is facing a multi-year struggle against a committed enemy. The most spectacular raid was the June 7 attack on a NATO convoy just outside Islamabad. There had been attacks on convoys in the past but only by insurgents operating in their home areas in the northwest.

Pakistan is a pivotal country for global security, owing to its large population, Muslim identity, links with Islamist terrorism, adjacency to Afghanistan and its nuclear arsenal. The troubles in Pakistan are inextricably linked with the conflict in Afghanistan. Taliban forces cross into the border regions of Pakistan, which they see as a relative safe haven.

Due to its strategic importance, Pakistan's foreign allies will do everything they can to ensure its stability. As we argue in this report, while we see difficulties we do not anticipate a complete breakdown of the state or the installation of a fundamentalist Islamic regime. On the other hand another military coup cannot be ruled out if the civilian government fails to maintain control.

Tensions will remain with neighbouring India because, with the best will in the world, the government in Islamabad will not be able to prevent cross-border attacks into India.

At the heart of the issues facing the country is economic poverty. Pakistan's per capita GDP is very low at US$1,000 and income inequalities are high, both vertically (i.e between different segments of society) and horizontally (between different provinces and regions). The recent devastating floods will only add to the misery endured by many in its surging population.

Pakistan has a well developed and quite professional military. Its industrial base produces much of the hardware needed by the defence forces including heavy tanks, missile systems, small arms and ammunition. Its shipbuilding industry produces surface craft for the navy and assembles its submarines.

Economic growth is hampered by a number of factors including the insurgency which deters capital investment, especially foreign investments, plus a chronic lack of electricity generation capacity.

While GDP growth is estimated to have come in at 4.1% for the year ended June 30 2010 on the back of a recovery from the global financial crisis, we are forecasting a more subdued 2.4% for this fiscal year rising to just 2.8% in 2011/2012. Even these numbers will now be threatened by the agriculture losses caused by the recent floods.

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Partial Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
- Pakistan Security SWOT
- Pakistan Defence Industry SWOT
- Pakistan Political SWOT
- Pakistan Economic SWOT
- Pakistan Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Global Hotspots
- Table: Election Timetable, H210-2011
- United States: Obama To Be Tested By Mid-Term Elections
- Latin America: Beyond Lula
- Western Europe: All About Austerity
- Central Europe: New Governments To Be Tested
- South-East Europe: Turkey's Ongoing Evolution
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union: Focus On Security
- Middle East: Ongoing Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: The Election Conundrum
- Asia: The Usual Risks Prevail
- Wild Cards To Watch
South Asia Security Overview
- The Strategic Outlook for the 2010s
- South East Asia In The Global Context
- Main Islamist Militant Groups In South East Asia
- Other Regional Threats
- The Future of Myanmar
Political Overview
- Domestic Politics
- Long-Term Political Outlook
- Long-Term Political Outlook
Security Risk Ratings
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Asia City Terrorism Index
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Insurgency
- Need For Police Reform
- Tribal Cooperation
- External Security Situation
- Border Disputes
- Afghanistan
- Kashmir
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2010 Forecast (including conscripted, '000 personnel)
- Deployments And Exercises
- Table: Pakistan's Deployments
- Weapons of Mass Destruction
- Table: Pakistan's Nuclear-Capable Ballistic Missile Arsenal
- Nuclear Developments
- Table: Exports From Pakistan
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends and Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Pakistan's Armed Forces, 2007-2014 ('000 personnel)
- Table: Pakistan's Government Defence Expenditure, 2007-2014
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Pakistan - Economic Activity
Company Profiles

Full Table of Contents is available at:

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at

About Fast Market Research

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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Tags:Defence, Military, Taliban, Pakistani, Militants, Violence, Ordnance, Imf, Battle, Mbts
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