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Follow on Google News | "Romania Power Report Q4 2010" is now available at Fast Market ResearchRecently published research from Business Monitor International, "Romania Power Report Q4 2010", is now available at Fast Market Research
CEE thermal power generation in 2010 was around 1,294TWh, accounting for 50.1% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 1,441TWh, implying 11.4% growth that reduces only slightly the market share of thermal generation to 49.1% - in spite of environmental concerns promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Romania's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 30.3TWh, or 2.34% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for 2.36% of regional thermal generation. Gas is the dominant fuel source in Romania, accounting for an estimated 36.0% of 2010 primary energy demand (PED). Gas is followed by oil at 29.1%, coal at 18.2%, hydro at 10.3% and nuclear with a 6.3% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,472mn toe by 2014, representing 13.5% growth over the period 2010-2014. Romania's estimated 2010 market share of 2.62% is set to rise to 2.68% by 2014. In 2010, Romania will have accounted for an estimated 2.71% of regional nuclear energy consumption, with a forecast market share of 2.67% by 2014. Romania now shares fourth place with Poland in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, having this quarter slipped behind Russia. The score reflects a relatively low level of import dependence, a high proportion of renewable energy, growing PED and an established competitive landscape. Over the medium term, Romania it is likely to be left behind by Poland, while Slovakia and Hungary below it pose little threat. BMI expects Romanian real GDP growth to average 3.4% a year between 2010 and 2014, with an assumed 2010 decline of 1.9%. The population is set to contract from 21.4mn in 2007 to 21.1mn in 2014, and GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita are forecast to rise 72% and 21% respectively. The country's electricity consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 45.6TWh in 2010 to 54.3TWh by the end of the forecast period, while theoretical surplus generation should rise from an estimated 10.4TWh in 2010 to a forecast 11.4TWh in 2014, assuming 2.7% average annual growth in generation in 2010-2014. Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting an increase in Romanian electricity generation of 38.9%, which is towards the upper end of the projected range for the CEE region. This equates to 18.2% in the 2014-2019 period, up from 17.3% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to increase from 16.2% in 2010-2014 to 18.8% in 2014-2019, representing 38.0% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 33% in hydropower use during 2010-2019 is a key element of generation growth, with nuclear use set to rise by 58%. Thermal power generation is forecast to increase by 32% between 2010 and 2019. More detail of BMI's long-term forecasts can be found later in the report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Romania Power Business Environment SWOT - Romania Political SWOT - Romania Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2007-2014 - Central And Eastern Europe - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2007-2014 (TWh) Market Overview - Romania - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Overview Of Romania's Power Rating - Rewards - Risks - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - Romania's Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: Romania's Power Sector, 2007-2014 - Table: Romania's Thermal Power, 2007-2014 - Table: Romania's Non-Thermal Power, 2007-2014 - Table: Romania's Power Costs, 2007-2014 - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - Romania - Economic Activity Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2012-2019 - Regional Outlook - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2012-2019 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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