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Follow on Google News | New Market Research Report: Hungary Power Report Q4 2010Fast Market Research recommends "Hungary Power Report Q4 2010" from Business Monitor International, now available
CEE thermal power generation in 2010 was around 1,294TWh, accounting for 50.1% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 1,441TWh, implying 11.4% growth that reduces only slightly the market share of thermal generation to 49.1% - in spite of environmental concerns promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Hungary's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 19.3TWh, or 149% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for an unchanged 1.49% of thermal generation. Gas is the dominant fuel in Hungary, accounting for an estimated 40.8% of 2010 primary energy demand (PED). It is followed by oil at 32.3%, nuclear at 15.3% and coal with a 10.5% share of PED. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,472mn toe by 2014, representing 13.5% growth over the period 2010-2014. Hungary's estimated 2010 market share of 1.76% is set to rise to 1.79% by 2014. Hungary's estimated 15.4TWh of nuclear demand in 2010 is forecast to reach 16.0TWh by 2014, with its share of the CEE nuclear market falling from 4.39% to 3.56%. Hungary is now ranked equal sixth, alongside Slovakia, in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, thanks to its limited market size, modest growth prospects, high level of energy import dependence, and limited progress towards the use of renewables. Country risk factors offset some of the industry weakness, but Hungary seems destined to jockey for position near the bottom of the table for the foreseeable future. BMI forecasts Hungarian real GDP growth averaging 2.8% a year between 2010 and 2014, with an increase of 1.1% expected in 2010. The country's population is expected to contract from 10.0mn to 9.9mn over the period, but GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita are forecast to increase by 35% and 12% respectively. Hungary's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 36.5TWh in 2010 to 40.6TWh by the end of the forecast period. Distribution losses may require continuing modest net imports, even assuming 2.8% annual growth in power generation between 2010 and 2014. Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting an increase in Hungarian electricity generation of 31.0%, which is one of the slowest projected growth rates for the CEE region. This equates to 15.3% in the 2014- 2019 period, up from 13.7% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to ease from 14.4% in 2010-2014 to 14.1%, representing 30.6% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 200% in hydro-power use (from a low base) during 2010-2019 is one key element of generation growth, with nuclear usage up by 24%. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 14.7% between 2010 and 2019. More detailed long-term forecasts can be found towards the end of this report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Hungary Power Business Environment SWOT - Hungary Political SWOT - Hungary Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2007-2014 - Central And Eastern Europe - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2007-2014 (TWh) Market Overview - Hungary - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Central and Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings - Hungary's Power Rating - Rewards - Risks - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - Hungary Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Table: Hungarian Wind Power Capacity - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: Hungary's Power Sector, 2007-2014 - Table: Hungary's Thermal Power, 2007-2014 (US$mn unless otherwise stated) - Table: Hungary's Non-Thermal Power, 2007-2014 - Table: Hungary's Power Costs, 2007-2014 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - Hungary - Economic Activity Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2012-2019 - Regional Outlook - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2012-2019 (mn toe) - Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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