Russia Defence & Security Report Q4 2010: New research report available at Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research recommends "Russia Defence & Security Report Q4 2010" from Business Monitor International, now available
Aug. 12, 2010 - PRLog -- Russia published a new version of The Military Doctrine of the Russian Federation in February 2010 to replace the earlier 2000 edition. From a procurement and expenditure point of view, however, the critical plan, The State Programme of Armaments (GPV-2015), remains in place. The modernisation plan for the years 2006-2015 includes new equipment, upgrades and maintenance programmes for which spending is estimated at RUB5,000bn (US$164bn).

Russia has traditionally been an exporter of military hardware but not an importer. Its increasing multinational involvements are leading to small changes at least. The most significant to date has been the announcement in February of the plan to buy one, and possibly four, Mistral class amphibious assault ships from France. These vessels cost up to US$750mn each.

In April, Russia participated in the Nuclear Security Summit hosted by US President Barack Obama. At the same time, Russia and the US signed to dispose of plutonium from nuclear weapons.

Externally, the principal security issue in recent months has been the political troubles in neighbouring Kyrgyzstan. Russia was the first country to recognise the new regime in that country and when violence broke out in the south of the country was asked to provide military assistance. At the time of writing, Russia has declined the request, preferring to balance its interests in the region. There has also been a reluctance to act unilaterally on this occasion in favour of working through multilateral channels. At the same time the unrest in Chechnya remains unresolved and represents on ongoing, albeit low level, conflict that Russia has been unable to bring to any conclusion.

Corruption remains a major problem internally, with bribery seen as endemic among the government agencies.

Economically, Russia is experiencing a strong export led recovery from the economic contraction that occurred during 2009. We have again lifted our forecast for Russian real GDP growth in 2010, this time from 3.4% to 4.7% on the basis of a strong lift in both demand for energy resources and also energy prices. Nonetheless, Russia's reliance on the energy sector remains a key macroeconomic risk factor. Being essentially a recovery from last year's crisis, the high growth rate is unlikely to be maintained. We are forecasting that real GDP growth will slow a little to 4.4% in 2011.

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Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Russia Security SWOT
- Russia Defence Industry SWOT
- Russia Political SWOT
- Russia Economic SWOT
- Russia Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Global Hotspots
- Table: Election Timetable, H210-2011
- United States: Obama To Be Tested By Mid-Term Elections
- Latin America: Beyond Lula
- Western Europe: All About Austerity
- Central Europe: New Governments To Be Tested
- South-East Europe: Turkey's Ongoing Evolution
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union: Focus On Security
- Middle East: Ongoing Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: The Election Conundrum
- Asia: The Usual Risks Prevail
- Wild Cards To Watch
Central And Eastern Europe Overview
Security Risk Ratings
- BMI's Security Ratings
- Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
- Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Russia's Security Ratings
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: BMI's Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
- Long-Term Political Outlook
- North Caucasus Outlook
- Table: The North Caucasus - Profile Of The Republics
- Regional Political Outlook
- Foreign Policy
Security Overview
- External Security Situation
- Russia's New Military Doctrine And NATO's Response
- Internal Security
- Table: Russian Insurgent Groups
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2007 (Including conscripted, '000)
- Defence Budget
- Historical Strength
- International Deployments
- Table: Russia's Foreign Deployments 2008
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Table: Key Players In Russia's Defence Sector, 2005
- Arms Trade Overview
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Russia's Armed Forces, 2007-2014 ('000 personnel)
- Table: Russia's Government Defence Expenditure, (2007-2014)
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Russia - Economic Activity, 2008-2014
Company Profiles
- Irkut
- Kazan Helicopters
- Rosoboronexport State Corporation
- Russian Aircraft Corporation MiG (RSK MiG)
- Sukhoi Aviation Corporation
- United Aircraft Corporation
- Uralvagonzavod
Country Snapshot: Russia Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2006
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

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