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Follow on Google News | New market study, "Egypt Power Report Q3 2010", has been publishedNew Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
BMI estimates thermal power generation in 2009 was 1,064TWh, accounting for 86.9% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 1,293TWh, implying 18.8% growth in 2010- 2014 that reduces slightly the market share of thermal generation to 82.3% - thanks in part to environmental concerns that should be promoting renewables, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Egypt's thermal generation in 2009 was an estimated 113TWh, or 10.63% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for 10.54% of regional thermal generation. For Egypt in 2009, gas was the dominant fuel, accounting for an estimated 50.0% of primary energy demand (PED), followed by oil at 43.1% and hydro with a 5.4% share. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 1,075mn tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) by 2014, representing 19.3% growth over the period since 2010. Egypt's estimated 2009 market share of 8.76% is set to fall to 8.75% by 2014. Egypt's estimated 18.1TWh of hydro generation in 2009 is forecast to reach 22.1TWh by 2014, with its share of the MEA hydro market easing from an estimated 41.56% to 35.44% over the period. Egypt now ranks equal third with Saudi Arabia in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, reflecting its market size and above-average proportion of renewables (hydro-power) BMI now forecasts Egyptian real GDP growth averaging 5.12% a year between 2010 and 2014, with a 2010 assumption of 4.60%. Population is expected to expand from 77.7mn to 84.1mn, with GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita to increase by 57% and 16% respectively. Power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 117TWh in 2009 to 147TWh by 2014, while theoretical surplus capacity will be 15TWh by 2014, assuming 4.1% average annual growth in electricity generation. Between 2010 and 2019 we forecast an increase in Egyptian electricity generation of 43.7%, towards the middle of the range for MEA. This equates to 21.7% during 2014-2019, up from 18.1% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to be 21.1% in 2014-2019, up from the 18.1% expected for 2010-2014, representing 43.0% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 51% in hydro-power use in 2010-2019 is an important element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 38% between 2010 and 2019. More details of the long-term BMI power forecasts can be found later in this report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Egypt Power Business Environment SWOT - Egypt Political SWOT - Egypt Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2007-2014 - Middle East And Africa Region - Table: Middle East And Africa Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Thermal Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Primary Energy Demand, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Middle East And Africa Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm) - Table: Middle East And Africa Coal Consumption, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Middle East And Africa Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2007-2014 (TWh) Market Overview - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Middle East And Africa Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Regional Power Business Environment Rating - Egypt's Power Rating - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - Egypt's Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: Egypt's Power Sector, 2007-2014 - Table: Egypt's Thermal Power Sector, 2007-2014 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) - Table: Egypt's Non-Thermal Power, 2007-2014 - Table: Egypt's Power Costs, 2007-2014 (US$mn, unless otherwise stated) - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - Table: Egypt - Economic Activity, 2007-2014 Power Outlook - Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2012-2019 - Regional Outlook - Table: Middle East And Africa Electricity Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Primary Energy Demand, 2012-2019 (mn toe) - Table: Middle East And Africa Thermal Power Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Hydro-Electric Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Middle East And Africa Nuclear Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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