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Follow on Google News | New Market Research Report: Philippines Power Report Q3 2010New Energy market report from Business Monitor International: "Philippines Power Report Q3 2010"
Asia Pacific thermal power generation in 2009 totalled an estimated 5,849TWh, accounting for 80.0% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2014 is 7,600TWh, implying a 23.7% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 78.1%. This is thanks largely to environmental concerns promoting renewable sources, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. The Philippines' thermal generation in 2009 was an estimated 50.5TWh, or 0.86% of the regional total. By 2014, the country is expected to account for an unchanged 0.86% of thermal generation in the region. Oil is the dominant fuel in the Philippines, accounting for an estimated 52.1% of primary energy demand (PED) in 2009, followed by coal at 24.7%, gas at 12.8% and hydro-electric energy at 8.7%. Renewables contribute 6.4% to the energy pie. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 5,334mn toe by 2014, representing 24.6% growth from the estimated 2009 level. The Philippines 2009 market share of an estimated 0.62% is set to remain around this level to 2014. The country's estimated 9.5TWh of hydro demand in 2009 is forecast to reach 11.5TWh by 2014, with its share of the Asia Pacific hydro market falling from an estimated 1.02% to 0.87% over the period. The Philippines now shares eighth place with Indonesia in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, thanks to a relatively high level of renewables usage and healthy energy demand growth prospects. Country risk factors offset some of the industry strength, but the country should be able to keep Pakistan at bay and potentially overtake Indonesia during the next few quarters. BMI is now forecasting Philippines' real GDP growth averaging 4.62% a year between 2010 and 2014, with the 2010 assumption being growth of 4.90%. Population is expected to expand from 91.4mn to 100.1mn over the period, with GDP per capita and electricity consumption per capita forecast to increase by 46% and 10% respectively. The country's power consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 52.2TWh in 2009 to 64.2TWh by the end of the forecast period, leaving theoretical surplus generation rising from an estimated 7.8TWh in 2009 to 12.7TWh in 2014, assuming 5.1% average annual growth in electricity generation during 2010-2014. Between 2010 and 2019, we are forecasting an increase in the Philippines' electricity generation of 59.9%, which is around the middle of the range for the Asia Pacific region. This equates to 30.3% in the 2014-2019 period, up from 22.7% in 2010-2014. PED growth is set to increase from 25.5% in 2010-2014 to 27.3%, representing 59.9% for the entire forecast period. An increase of 25% in hydro-power use during 2010-2019 is a key element of generation growth. Thermal power generation is forecast to rise by 66% between 2010 and 2019. More details of our long-term power forecasts are at the end of this report. For more information or to purchase this report, go to: - http://www.fastmr.com/ Partial Table of Contents: Executive Summary SWOT Analysis - Philippines Power Business Environment SWOT - Philippines Political SWOT - Philippines Economic SWOT Industry Overview - Global - Table: Global Summary, 2007-2014 - Asia Pacific Region - Table: Asia Pacific Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2007-2014 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption, 2007-2014 (bcm) - Table: Asia Pacific Coal Consumption, 2007-2014 (mn toe) - Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2007-2014 (TWh) Philippines Market Overview - Primary Energy Demand - Power Generation - Power Consumption - Regulation And Competition - Pricing - Power Transmission Business Environment - Asia Pacific Power Business Environment Ratings - Table: Asia Regional Power Business Environment Ratings - Philippines' Power Rating - Legal Framework - Infrastructure - Labour Force - Foreign Investment Policy - Tax Regime - Security Risk Industry Forecast Scenario - Philippines' Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-Fired - Oil-Fired - Coal-Fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-Electric - Renewable Energy - Power Costs - Transmission - Table: The Philippines' Power Sector, 2007-2014 - Table: The Philippines' Thermal Power Sector, 2007-2014 - Table: The Philippines' Non-Thermal Power, 2007-2014 - Table: The Philippines' Power Costs, 2007-2014 - Assumptions And Methodology - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario - Long-Term Power Outlook - Macroeconomic Outlook - Table: Philippines - Economic Activity Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts - Global Snapshot - Table: Global Summary, 2012-2019 - Regional Outlook - Table: Asia Pacific Electricity Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2012-2019 (mn toe) - Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Hydro-Electric Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Generation, 2012-2019 (TWh) - Philippines Country Overview - Methodology And Risks To Forecasts Competitive Landscape - Napocor - Full Table of Contents is available at: -- http://www.fastmr.com/ About Business Monitor International Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/ About Fast Market Research Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156. # # # Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. End
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