Defence & Security Report South Africa

May 17, 2008 - PRLog -- Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for South Africa.
Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the South African Defence and Security  industry.
Competitive intelligence, South African defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in South Africa.

The South Africa Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for South Africa through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in South Africa.

South African Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the South African defence & security industry.

Key Benefits of Report

Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on South Africa to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the South African defence and security market.
Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the South African Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in South Africa
Exploit The Latest Competitive South African Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
Coverage

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’.

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and
foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign.

Defence Industry Assessment

Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments.

It 5-Year Forecasts

Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports)

It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

Executive Summary

South Africa faces internal and external security threats. Internally, it has a well-established organised crime and drug trafficking network, a vast wealth disparity and large scale HIV infection within its population, not to mention ongoing racial tensions fuelling security threats such as the right-wing Afrikaner group, Die Boeremag. Its security concerns also extend beyond its borders. As the hegemonic power in the continent and particularly in the Southern Great Lakes region, it has a heavy involvement in the continent’s troubled spots in terms of security forces/peacekeeping deployments. While the numerous security threats in the region have the potential to destabilise South Africa on a variety of levels, the potential for its neighbours – particularly Zimbabwe – to destabilise it economically and politically is especially strong.

The defence industry witnessed major upheaval when the lifting of the arms embargoes on South Africa led to competition with foreign companies. With the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) no longer a captive customer of the sector, companies have had to shed large sections of their workforce, leading to dwindling numbers. Recent procurement packages may be the first step in reversing this trend. The future of the South African defence industry depends on its successful break into the international market. Joint ventures will aid the country in gaining a technological lead in key areas. Currently, the biggest single long-term problem within the defence industry is the lack of research and development funding and policy. Several defence industrial participation (DIP) contracts have been signed with South African firms, which will assist in areas of defence electronics.

Arms exports are proving a more vital area of sales for South African defence companies, and should be the main catalyst for any growth in the industry. Encouraging figures from key defence companies seem to suggest a growing export market. Meanwhile, arms imports should increase substantially with the delivery of the major weapons platforms recently ordered by the government. Imports are forecast at US$145mn in constant prices by 2006, a significant increase on the US$41mn imported in 1997. The recent normalisation of relations between the US and South Africa offers hope for better trade.

It concludes that the state's political, economic and security structures remain relatively strong. The country is plagued with very high crime rates and high HIV/AIDS infection rates but neither of these poses a risk its overall stability. Recent restructuring and moves to modernise the South African armed forces have created the best-equipped and most advanced military on the African Continent. The defence industry is growing and making indents into international markets.

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