World Housing forecasts for 2011 & 2016

World demand to rise 2.5% annually through 2011
 
Dec. 21, 2007 - PRLog -- Global demand for housing is expected to increase about 2.5 percent per annum through 2011, generating the construction of approximately 60 million new housing units. The fastest gains will be in the Africa/Mideast region, spurred by the most rapid increases in population and household formation of any region. Yet a significant share of the new housing constructed in the Africa/Mideast will be to satisfy little more than basic needs for shelter, and the growth in the value of new housing construction will be eclipsed by that in other parts of the world.
Housing demand to outpace new household formations
Throughout the developing regions, ruralto- urban migration will stimulate demand for new housing even beyond that required simply by new household formation. Such internal population flows will test the ability of government planning agencies to respond to the need for urban housing. As a result, some of the construction needs will be met by housing of lower than average quality, often on land to which the dweller has unclear or no legal title.
China to see biggest increase in value terms
Measured in terms of the inflationadjusted value of residential construction, China is forecast to post the largest advances over the forecast period. Real  residential construction expenditures in China will expand eight percent per year through 2011. China’s continuing population flows from rural to urban  areas will help stimulate increases in new housing construction. Population growth in China over the forecast period will be  substantially below the world average, and the annual growth in new housing units will be moderate. With the country’s rising personal income levels, however, purchasers of new housing units will be able to afford larger or better-constructed units than in the past, boosting the average value of  the new housing units.
New construction to drive 2% yearly gains in housing stock
In 2006, the existing global stock of housing was in excess of 1.8 billion units,  marginally higher than the number of households. China accounted for more than one-fifth of the total. More than onehalf of the world housing stock was in Latin America, Eastern Europe, the Africa/Mideast region, and developing countries in Asia other than China. Through 2011, new  housing construction will help drive two percent annual increases in the housing stock. Of the existing housing, about three-fifths is designed for single-family occupancy. That form of housing is most common in rural areas and in developed countries with lower population densities, such as Canada and the United States.
Study coverage
It presents historic demand data (1996, 2001, 2006) plus forecasts (2011, 2016) for housing stock and demand by world region (e.g., Asia/Pacific, North America, Western Europe) and major national market. The study also considers market environment trends and indicators. 
Table of Content
Introduction
Executive Summary
Market Environment
World Economic Overview
Recent Historical Trends
Macroeconomic Outlook
World Demographic Overview
Population
Households
World Residential Building Construction
Expenditures
Legislation & Regulatory Considerations
Materials & Technology Trends
OvERvIEW
Housing Stock by Region
Housing Stock by Housing Type
Single-Family
Multifamily
Housing Demand by Region
Housing Demand by Housing Type
Single-Family
Multifamily
NORTH amERICa
North America
United States
Canada
Mexico
WESTERN EuROPE
Western Europe
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Spain
Other Western Europe
aSIa/PaCIFIC
Asia/Pacific
China
Japan
India
Indonesia
Australia
Thailand
South Korea
Taiwan
Other Asia/Pacific
OTHER REGIONS
Latin America
Brazil
Argentina
Other Latin America
Eastern Europe
Russia
Poland
Other Eastern Europe
Africa/Mideast
Turkey
South Africa
Other Africa/Mideast
 
List of Tables & Charts
 
Executive Summary
1 Summary Table
Market Environment
1 World Gross Domestic
Product by Region
2 World Population by Region
3 World Households by Region
4 World Residential Construction
Expenditures by Region
 
Overview
1 World Housing Stock by Region
Cht World Housing Stock
by Region, 2005
2 World Housing Stock by Type
3 World Housing Starts by Region
Cht World Housing Starts
by Region, 2005
4 World Housing Starts by Type
NORTH America
1-2 North America
3-4 US
5-6 Canada
7-8 Mexico
WESTERN EuROPE
1-2 Western Europe
3-4 Germany
5-6 France
7-8 United Kingdom
9-10 Italy
11-12 Spain
13-14 Other Western Europe
aSIa/PaCIFIC
1-2 Asia/Pacific
3-4 China
5-6 Japan
7-8 India
9-10 Indonesia
11-12 Australia
13-14 Thailand
15-16 South Korea
17-18 Taiwan
19-20 Other Asia/Pacific
OTHER REGIONS
1-2 Latin America
3-4 Brazil
5-6 Argentina
7-8 Other Latin America
9-10 Eastern Europe
11-12 Russia
13-14 Poland
15-16 Other Eastern Europe
17-18 Africa/Mideast
19-20 Turkey
21-22 South Africa
23-24 Other Africa/Mideast

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