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Follow on Google News | Betting Update; Scottish Grand National TrendsThe national season continues this Saturday, and this time it’s the turn of Scotland, as they host their biggest race day on their racing calendar.
By: Andrew Newton - easyodds.com Unlike at Aintree, where there are a lot more positive trends to work with, the Scottish version has a much harder look to it, but all the same lets try to knock a few out. To me the key points to make are that 100% of the last 10 winners finished in the top 5 in their previous race. Any stat that carries this amount of weight should always be noted and in doing so knocks out a fair few; including the well-fancied pair Rambling Minster and Napolitain. This trend can also be taken a step further, as 70% of those 10 winners actually came in the top 3. So if this is taken on trust then we can put a line though a few more; including Run for Paddy and previous Welsh National winner L’Adventure. Whereas the Irish have dominated Aintree in recent years, they have a poor record in this race, with no wins in the last 10 years. This rules out the only Irish runner, Michael Hourigan’s A New Story. While the top three on the card, Joaaci, Idle Talk and Cornish Rebel, will be up against it with only 3 horses carrying more than 11-2 to victory in the last 10 runnings. The final positive trend is that 7/10 winners ran no more than 41 days ago. This puts a negative against Classic Capers and Run for Paddy, while with no horse under the age of seven winning, the current jolly Nine De Sivola at 6 years-old might just be too young. So, after all that crossing out to me backing the well-fancied duo Character Building and Parsons Legacy, who both fit the days since last run, form and age trends. Plus, looking further down the betting Another Rum and High Cotton, at big prices, could go well after also fitting past trends. Last week’s National tri-cast paid over £12,500, so with four selections in these big races it’s always worth perming up this bet, which is a total of 24 bets. Main fancies - Character Building and Parsons Legacy Longshots - Another Rum and High Cotton Lay – Nine De Sivola Tricast - Character Building, Parsons Legacy, Another Rum, High Cotton - £1 combination tricast = 24 bets Combination tricast perms Number of horses selected – Three = 6 bets Number of horses selected – Four = 24 bets Number of horses selected – Five = 60 bets Number of horses selected – Six = 120 bets Number of horses selected – Seven = 210 bets Number of horses selected – Eight = 336 bets Number of horses selected – Nine = 504 bets Number of horses selected – Ten = 720 bets • All prices correct at time of writing. ABOUT EASYODDS.COM Easyodds.com is a comprehensive sport betting service that helps you find the BEST ODDS on offer from leading bookmakers, betting exchanges and spread betting firms and then helps you place your bet at the BestPrice. FREE to register! www.easyodds.com Andrew Newton Managing Editor 020 7691 0660 Website: www.easyodds.com?= End
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