Is Iran nuclear agreement close?

BROOKINGS, Ore. - Sept. 30, 2014 - PRLog -- With Iran refusing U.S. demands that it gut its uranium enrichment program, the two sides are now discussing a new proposal which would leave much of Tehran’s enriching machines in place, but disconnected. This would allow Iran to claim they have not given into Western demands and torn down most the 19,000 machines they have built at a cost of billions of dollars. President Obama wants a deal by the midterm elections on November 4.

With little more than two months to the current November 24 deadline, Iran and six world powers have launched fresh effort to narrow their differences in exchange for full sanctions relief. The United States, Russia, China, France, and Britain, plus German (P+1) are attempting to provide a “creative” way for Iran to keep its centrifuges, but lengthen the time it takes to produce nuclear weapons.

Chief U.S. negotiator Wendy Sherman stated, “We must be confident any effort by Tehran to break out of its obligations not to build nuclear weapons, will be visible and time-consuming and would have no chance of success.” She assisted in negations with North Korea when they went nuclear.

The pro-Israel lobby AIPAC has stated, “Simply disconnecting the links between cascades of centrifuges would not sufficiently lengthen Iran’s breakout time and could easily be reversed.”

Another alternative is to extend the current November 24 deadline until January 15, 2015. The U.S. Air Force has 30,000-pound behemoth bunker buster bombs that can take out Iran’s underground nuclear facilities at anytime.
　
However, former Israeli intelligence chief Amos Yadlin has stated he believes Israel is approaching a fork in the road, because Iran is building underground facilities beyond Israel’s ability to destroy. Israel is a small country that can be destroyed with one nuclear bomb. Until recently Yadlin believed that Israel had more time to wait for sanctions to bite. Several Israeli officials now believe the Obama administration will never bomb Iran, and sanctions are not going to stop Iran’s nuclear weapons program.

Many observers believe that if the six Western powers give Iran another delay until 2015, or make a deal which does not require Iran to dismantle a large portion of its centrifuges, Israel will use the “Begin doctrine” and destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. With 15,000 centrifuges the breakout time to build nuclear weapons could be less than three months.

Recent satellite photos show North Korea may be preparing for a test of an Iranian nuclear device. The Israeli intelligence agency Mossad is aware Iran is selling oil to China to finance a joint venture with North Korea to develop nuclear warheads and intercontinental ballistic missiles. Israel believes the current talks will be postponed until January 15, 2015 or Iran will be allowed to keep most of its centrifuges. Once Iran installs their advanced IR2 extra-fast centrifuges, neither Washington nor Jerusalem will be able to know how much enriched weapons grade material Iran has.

There are reports Israel and Saudi Arabia have lost faith in the Obama administration and the other Western powers. The Saudis have reportedly given Israel flyover rights to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities. Israel Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon recently shifted his view and is now likely to support a unilateral Israeli strike on Iran. Some annalists believe Israel may strike Iran in the next 60 days.

Only the God of Israel knows the future, but Genesis 12:3 declares, "I will bless those that bless the Jewish people, and curse those who curse you; and in you shall all nations of the earth be blessed."

For more information on the crisis in the Middle East see:

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