The website looked at a team’s first game within this group of games, and limited it to road favorites within the month of October, dating back to the start of the 2000-01 season. What it found was that those teams generally kept scoring down in that first contest, since the under managed to be the correct wager on 12 of 17 occasions.
In both 2010 and 2012 (2011 was the lockout year), this NBA trend was a perfect 5-0 for those choosing the under. Four games over five nights in 2010 were winners for those making the wager, while just one contest last season fit the situation: the Indiana Pacers defeated the Toronto Raptors, 90-88, to go below the 188 total.
This year, there are three games that fit the parameters of this study, all of them taking place on Wednesday evening. The first game will have the world champion Miami Heat traveling to take on the Philadelphia 76ers as 11-point favorites, and with a Las Vegas betting total of 197.
The latter two matchups will take place later that evening, the first coming when the Oklahoma Thunder will be favored by five points over the host Utah Jazz, with a total of 195.5. The final contest will pit the Portland Trail Blazers as four-point road favorites against the Phoenix Suns, with a total of 198 established by oddsmakers.