With Clemson listed as a 16.5-point road favorite with a total of 59.5, the website looked at how the Tigers have performed as a double-digit favorite on the road. What it found was that the last 10 times Clemson has been in this situation (dating back to November 2002), the game has finished under the Las Vegas betting total.
The two most recent cases took place earlier this season, and in both cases, the game finished below the listed number. On September 19, the Tigers defeated North Carolina State by a 26-14 score, far below the 65.5 total. Then, on October 5, Clemson easily defeated Syracuse, 49-14, coming just under the 65 number set by oddsmakers.
Last Saturday, the Tigers suffered a 51-14 defeat to the Florida State Seminoles, which sets up a component of the second trend Vegas Experts found. Beginning with the 2008 college football season, when Clemson is coming off a loss, its next game has stayed under the Las Vegas betting total 16 of 21 times.
Last season, the Tigers lost 24-14 to the South Carolina Gamecocks in the regular season finale. Five weeks later, it played in the Chick-fil-A Bowl against the LSU Tigers, and won by a 25-24 score, staying below the total of 58.5 points.
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