Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insists Iran give up their fissile material altogether, their underground centrifuge facilities, and their plutonium facility at Arak.
A report from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) claims Iran has already mastered the steps necessary to build nuclear weapons, putting the nation on the brink of joining the world’s nuclear powers. According to U.N. officials, Iran received help from a former Soviet Union weapons scientist who showed them how to build detonators and trigger a nuclear explosion. Iran has purportedly done research on liquid-propellant missile engines, and warhead design at their Parchin facility, which has been closed to IAEA inspection since 2005.
Iran’s new president Hassan Rowhani says he wants his country to be friends with the U.S. again, but insisted the United States must recognize Iran’s nuclear rights to enrich, and that they will never interfere in Iran’s internal affairs.
The Obama administration believes the dream of an Iranian-American détente might be possible through a series of small steps. A senior administration official has stated billions of dollars in frozen funds may be released if the Iranian government takes specific steps to curb its nuclear program. Administration officials have urged the Senate to hold off on voting on a new bill to strangle Iran’s oil exports further until after the next round of talks on November 7-8 in Vienna.
Saudi Arabia an other Persian Gulf monarchies have joined Israelis in expressing growing dismay over U.S. suggestions that Iran could be allowed to retain limited capability to enrich uranium as part of a comprehensive agreement ending the decade-old nuclear dispute.
Secretary of State John Kerry met with Netanyahu in Rome to reassure Israelis that a deal with Iran would not come at the expense of security for Israel. The U.S. is purportedly attempting to lengthen Iran’s “breakout”
Iran currently has 11 tons of low-enriched uranium, which is enough to make 15 nuclear bombs if enriched to 90 percent weapons grade uranium. Currently Iran can enrich to weapons grade uranium in six weeks. The U.S. purportedly wants to lengthen Iran’s break-out capacity to six months or longer. A six-month window would be needed to ensure that Western governments could detect and stop a clandestine effort to make a bomb.
Iran’s new president, Hassan Rouhani, appointed Mohammad Javad Zarif, an American-educated diplomat, to take charge of nuclear talks. Mr. Zarif believes it can wrap up negotiations with world powers over its disputed nuclear program in one year or less. Critics believe one year of negotiations would be more than enough for Iran to go nuclear.
The consensus thinking is that the Obama administration is interested in a scaled approach. Israel is concerned this is a slippery slope. Most observers believe if there is a deal it will all but rule out the possibility of a unilateral Israel military action. Most authorities believe the chance Israel will act alone after the U.S. makes a deal is miniscule.
However, most “authorities”
Western authorities need to listen to what Israel Dense Minister Moshe Ya’alon has warned, “The world must lead the campaign against Iran, but Israel must prepare for the possibility it will have to defends itself with its own powers. When asked if the IDF has the capabilities to attack Iran alone, Chief of Staff Lt. General Benny Gantz said the Iranian challenge is a meaningful one, but the IDF had the capabilities to attack Iran alone.
To those who claim Israel will not defy the United States are ignoring the precedents for an Israeli decision to fly solo in the face of American and international consensus, when they destroyed Iraq’s and Syria’s nuclear reactors in 1981 and 2007. While many believe an Israel attack is delusional, what is delusional is believing the US will attack Iran, and that anything but force will stop Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Netanyahu has no other choice, if the ayatollahs obtain a nuclear weapon they will use them. Netanyahu does not believe mutually assured destruction is a deterrent to apocalyptic leaders who believe in a Holy War. It appears a confrontation between Israel and Iran is an appointment with destiny.
“…In the latter years you will come into the land of those brought back from the sword and gathered from many people on the mountains of Israel, which had long been desolate…” Ezekiel 38:8
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