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Israel’s has a window to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities between spring and fall of 2013

President Obama may believe Iran is a small distant country, and not a threat to the United States. However, with today’s weapons of mass destruction, it does not take a lot of money to do serious damage.

PRLog - March 19, 2013 - BROOKINGS, Ore. -- Prior to arrival in Jerusalem on March 20, President Obama has been asserting to Israeli television that Iran is at least a year away from being able to produce a nuclear weapon, and this should be a year of diplomacy to try to halt Iran’s nuclear program, not a year of military confrontation. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated publicly, Iran will cross a “red line” this spring or summer.

President Obama has presumably come to Israel to ask Netanyahu not to attack Iran this spring. Netanyahu will presumably ask President Obama when the U.S. is going to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. Some experts believe Obama and Netanyahu are unlikely to get their clocks for military action in sync. It appears Israel will make a unilateral strike first. The issue is no longer if, but when? Some experts believe the construction of Iran’s Arak nuclear plant, capable of producing Pu-239 for a plutonium missile warhead, is Israel’s final “red line”, which will force it to attack Iran, before this coming winter.

Iran’s current nuclear weapons design was purchased from Pakistan’s Dr. Khan. The 1975 arrival to Pakistan of Dr. Abdul Khan considerably advanced its nuclear program. Dr. Khan is a German-trained metallurgist who brought with him knowledge of gas centrifuge technologies. Dr. Khan reportedly brought with him stolen uranium enrichment technologies from Europe. He was put in charge of building, equipping and operating Pakistan’s Kahuta facility, and employed an extensive clandestine network in order to obtain the necessary materials and technology for developing a uranium enriched nuclear bomb.

In the 1990s, after he finished arming Pakistan with nuclear weapons, he resigned from the civil service and began to establish a private company to assist nations to build nuclear weapons. Iran, Libya, and North Korea allegedly paid him millions to establish a smuggling network that provided equipment and technology enrich uranium with gas centrifuges. In a Pakistan television interview Dr. Khan stated a country determined to obtain nuclear weapons could do so in approximately 10 years, and it is not overly expensive. It cost Pakistan approximately $500 million to construct a bomb.

Uranium concentrated to 90 percent U-235 isotopes can be used to construct a large bomb, which can be delivered by airplane, truck, or ship. Iran armed with uranium enriched bombs could be used defensively to discourage a military invasion of Iran, and to control the Strait of Hormuz.

However, a uranium based nuclear explosive devise, based on the prototype provided by Dr. Khan, is considered too large and heavy to be placed on Iran’s ballistic missiles. A uranium bomb is at least five times heavier than a plutonium one, and is not suitable as warhead on a Iranian Shahab-3 missile, which has a maximum one-ton payload. Many see Israel’s more definitive unspoken “red line” to be just prior to Iran activating its nuclear reactor at Arak, at the beginning of 2014. If the plant is destroyed after activation, there would be concern of collateral contamination

Plutonium is an element created as a by-product of uranium powered reactors. The plutonium produced at Iran’s Bushehr is impure; the isotope Pu-239 necessary for a weapon will more likely be produced from a heavy water moderated reactor, such as the one going on stream at Arak, in Iran. Recent images reveal the heavy-water plant is in operation at the Arak complex. The nuclear reactor is scheduled to go on stream this coming winter. Because of winter weather cover, a military strike may need to occur in the fall of 2013. If the US fails to act, it is presumed Israel will take-out the Arak plant, and consider this a “double red line”.   

If Iran had nuclear tips on its missiles in Venezuela, and develops its Shahab-5 missile, this would be a threat to the U.S. refining complex in Houston, Texas. It is assumed Hugo Chavez’s anointed successor, Nicolas Maduro, will become the new president of Venezuela, after the national election on April 14. Maduro is a Marxist extremist who will presumably continue working with Iran in building silo missile launch pads on the Paraguana Peninsula. Iran and North Korea are jointly working together to develop long range ballistic missiles. Iran is currently developing Shahab-5 missiles based on the North Korea’s Taepo Dong-2. If these missiles were deployed in Venezuela, they could be a threat to the U.S. Gulf Coast.

The U.S. Gulf Coast chemical plant and refinery complex is the largest petrochemical complex in the world. Houston, Texas, is known as the energy capital of the nation, and is home to more than 3,700 energy-related companies, including 16 of the nation’s top 20 oil pipelines. Texas refineries lead the nation in both crude oil production and refining. With a refining capacity of more than 4.7 million barrels of crude oil a day, Texas account for 27 percent of the nation’s total capacity.

President Obama may believe Iran is a small country, and not a threat to the United States, however, it has purchased sophisticated technology from Europe, Russia, China, North Korea, and Pakistan. With today’s weapons of mass destruction, it does not take that much money to do a lot of damage.

President Obama won on a post-Christian platform. Many Republicans want to follow suit. Many young Catholics want a pro-gay and lesbian pope.

“Thus saith the Lord, What iniquity have your fathers found in me, that they are gone far from me, and have walked after vanity, and are become vain? Saying to a tree, Thou are my father; and to a stone, Thou has brought me forth; for they have turned their back unto me, and not their face, but in the time of their trouble they will say, Arise, and save us." (Jeremiah 2:5 & 27)

For more information on the Middle East crisis, and the culture war:

Please go to: teapartyculturewar.com or

“Tea Party Culture War: a clash of worldviews”, by author Stephen Johnston

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Source:Stephen Johnston, author "Tea Party Culture War."
Phone:(541) 469-2115
Location:Brookings - Oregon - United States
Industry:Politics, Middle east
Tags:iran, middle east, israel, u s
Last Updated:Mar 19, 2013
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