We always hear about how “Now is the best time to buy!”; these numbers seem to indicate that “Now may be the best time to sell!”
The MSI indicates how much time in months it would take, at the current rate of houses going under contract, to sell the residential inventory in MRED’s MLS database. It is a more effective metric with which to measure the amount of homes available for sale in a market than a gross number, especially when comparing to other areas. Similarly, the number of properties under contract is a good predictor of future closed activity.
In October 2011, the MRED MSI was 12.0 months and the number of properties under contract was 5,818. In October 2010 those numbers were 16.6 months and 4,852 respectively. In layman’s terms, the market was quite cool before, but now it’s heating up. The number of properties under contract is double that of last year, which was up twenty percent (20%) from the year before that, 2010.
“The October MSI number is a clear indicator that there is pressure on prices to rise,” said MRED CEO Russ Bergeron. “It is a simple matter of Economics 101 – less supply, more demand and prices move up. This helps explain why the median sold price is up nearly 3% year-over-year. The number of properties under contract confirms what we have been observing – that the real estate marketplace is slowly returning to some form of normalcy. All else remaining equal, I look forward to terrific numbers in 2013.”
Midwest Real Estate Data (MRED) is the real estate data aggregator and distributor providing the Chicagoland multiple listing service (MLS) to nearly 40,000 brokers, agents and appraisers and 8,000 offices. MRED serves Chicago and the surrounding “collar” counties and provides property information encompassing northern Illinois, southern Wisconsin and northwest Indiana. For more information, visit www.MREDLLC.com.