President Obama had a substantial lead until the first debate. Romney got a big boost from his strong performance in the first debate on Oct. 3. The second debate appeared close. The race has tightened in the days before their final televised debate, with Governor Romney closing the gap on President Obama in the crucial swing states. The final debate may decide the outcome of the election.
It is presumed Romney will challenge Obama over his handling of Iran, Afghanistan, and the possible cover-up of the terrorist attack on the U.S. embassy in Benghazi, Libya. U.N. ambassador Susan Rice told the nation the attack was the spontaneous response to a youtube video, when she may have had knowledge it was an al Qaeda terrorist attack. Obama will counter with the claim he killed bin Laden, and the October surprise news, the U.S. will negotiate one-on-one with Iran, in regards to nuclear program, after the U.S. presidential election.
Election experts assume Governor Romney will win a majority of states in this years presidential election. However, it can be assumed President Obama will win the more populated states on the west coast and the northeast. This means Romney must win the majority of the five to nine toss-up states. There are approximately 11 swing states with 141 electoral votes that have more than enough to put either candidate above the 270 votes needed to win the presidency.
The most important swing state is Ohio. No Republican has won the presidency without winning Ohio. Ohio is not the biggest swing state, it has 18 electoral votes and Florida has 29. What makes Ohio important is that it has historically been a bell weather state which reflects a cross section of the thinking across America.
Historically, Democrats need a big margin in heavily populated northeast Ohio to offset the Republican stronghold in the southwest and the swing areas of the Appalachian Ohio and the northwest. Currently, Ohio is almost tied, with President Obama holding a slight lead of 2%, but Governor Romney closing quickly. Because Ohio is a bell-weather state, and a large swing state, it will be difficult for Romney to win without winning Ohio. Two bell-weather counties are Lake and Sandusky Counties. Out of Ohio’s 88 counties, these two counties have accurately predicted the statewide winner in 28 of 28 races. If Romney carries these counties, he may become the next president of the United States.
The United States seems to be divided almost evenly between two worldviews. On side you have people who believe in living by a set of divinely inspired moral absolutes. On the other side, you have people who insist morality is simply based upon personal decisions. One half of the country pays income taxes and the other half does not. One hundred and forty six million Americans have a job. One hundred million Americans receive welfare payments from the government.
The 2012 Presidential election will determine whether the U.S. continues down the path of Godless socialism and the European style welfare state, or returns back towards free enterprise and Biblical family values. Only God knows the future.
Written by Dr. Stephen Johnston, author of “Tea Party Culture War: A clash of worldviews.”
For more information the culture war go to: "Tea Party Culture War.com."