Yes, the decent racing is a bit thin on the ground until York's Ebor Meeting next week, but at least that gives us a chance to reassess our bet in the jockeys' title race of a few weeks back.
Richard Hughes was available at around 6/4 back then and as I expected with the powerful Hannon team in flying form he's closed the gap right up with Ryan Moore, and is now as short at 2/7 in places. Okay, so it's not over yet and there's still a very long way to go, but with Hughes looking the one that wants it more - barring any mishaps I can still only see one winner.
Onto this week in the world of racing and the two feature contests are the ultra-competitive Great St Wilfrid Stakes up at Ripon and Newbury's Group Two Hungerford Stakes - both on Saturday.
Looking at the Ripon race, which is generally regarded as the track's biggest race day in the calendar, you can expect a decent field once again with £70,000+ up for grabs for connections.
At this stage of the week the final line-up is going to be hard to call, but it is a race that's thrown up some interesting trends in recent years and as the week goes on we'll get a better idea of the intended runners so it could pay to stay one step ahead of the bookmakers by knowing these stats.
I'll list all the trends below, but the key ones to note are: -
- Be wary of any entered 3 year-olds as we've not seen a winning horse in that age group in the last 10 years - 4 year-olds have the best recent record, winning 50% of the last 10 runnings.
- The last 10 runnings have only yielded one winning favourite, while don't be put off if your fancy is an attractive price as 8 of the last 10 returned at double-figure odds in the betting.
- 70% of the last 10 winners carried 8-12 or more and 80% had already won over 6f, plus it could pay to look for horses that have had quite a few runs already that season as 8 of the last 10 took this after having 5 or more previous outings that term.
Great St Wilfrid 10 Year Trends
8/10 - Had previously won over 6f
8/10 - Failed to win last time out
8/10 - Winner that had 5 or more runs already that season
8/10 - Won at a double-figure price
7/10 - Carried 8-12 or more
7/10 - Winning distance 1 length or less
6/10 - Unplaced in their latest race
6/10 - Unplaced favourites
6/10 - Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/10 - Had raced at Ripon before (3 had won)
5/10 - Winners aged 4 years-old
2/10 - Trained by Dandy Nicholls
1/10 - Winning favourites
0/10 - Aged 3 years-old
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