"Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q3 2012" is now available at Fast Market Research

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q3 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research
By: Fast Market Research, Inc.
 
July 4, 2012 - PRLog -- The ongoing sale of the incumbent Bulgarian Telecommunications Company (Vivacom) is the major development in the Bulgarian market in the past quarter. At the time of writing, negotiations for the sale of Vivacom had not been concluded, although reports from local press indicate that Turkcell is in pole position. BMI believes Turkcell to have the greatest potential to benefit the Bulgarian market, based on its experience in the low-cost Turkish market where it has helped drive market development. However, it was reported that creditors and Turkcell were yet to enter exclusive talks. A buyer could be announced by mid-April 2012. The outcome could have far reaching implications for the market as Vivacom continues to dominate both the fixed-line and broadband markets.

The Bulgarian regulator has also submitted a proposed glide path to the European Commission in the past quarter for mobile termination rates (MTRs). The proposed path would see rates fall to almost a third of their current level in three instalments in April and July 2012, then January 2013. The Commission has warned the Bulgarian regulator, the CRC, several times that MTRs are too high and must be reduced. The rate cuts are welcomed in that they will help facilitate price competition from rivals with smaller market shares. However, they would also hit operator revenues in a market heavily dependent on voice revenues as data revenue growth has failed to take off. Finally, although MTR cuts would improve the regulatory environment, given the pressure from the Commission, BMI does not believe the cuts indicate an improved focus on liberalisation and consumer interests on the part of the CRC.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/384796_bulgaria_telecommunicat...
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In addition to covering the most recent developments in the Bulgarian telecoms sector, the Q312 Bulgaria telecoms report contains BMI's revised forecasts for the mobile, fixed-line and broadband markets based on latest regulatory and operator data. The fixed-line and broadband forecasts have not seen a significant revision, but the mobile forecast has been upgraded based on stronger than expected growth in H211. The mobile ARPU forecast has had a significant downgrade based on ongoing price erosion and the prospect of MTR cuts negatively impacting operator revenues in 2012 and 2013. This report also contains updated operational and financial data for the country's major network operators, as well as an overview of mobile content and value-added services and an update to the regulatory environment.

Based on Q411 figures published by Bulgaria's two largest mobile operators - Telekom Austria-backed Mobiltel and Globul, which is owned by OTE of Greece - and a company statement from Vivacom relating to the performance of its mobile operations in 2011, we estimate that Bulgaria's mobile subscriber base grew by 9.8% during 2011, up from the 1.2% growth recorded in 2010, to reach 11.711mn subscribers. Despite this growth, we consider the growth prospects to be limited with penetration rates above 157%. Rather, we expect operators to focus on attracting higher value subscribers and expanding their postpaid subscriber bases to ensure ARPU stability. By 2016, we forecast Bulgaria's mobile penetration rate to reach 173.8%. We also expect 3G connections, which accounted for just 9.4% of total mobile subscriptions in 2010, to account for around 27.8% of the mobile market by 2016.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Bulgaria Mobile SWOT
- Bulgaria Wireline SWOT
- Bulgaria Political SWOT
- Bulgaria Economic SWOT
- Bulgaria Business Environment SWOT
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Central And Eastern Europe
- Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312
- Bulgaria
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Mobile
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
- ARPU
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile ARPU (BGN) - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Fixed Line
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Internet
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
- Mobile
- Table: Bulgarian Mobile Net Additions, Q411
- Market Share
- Subscriber Mix
- MVNOs
- ARPU
- 3G
- Mobile Contract Wins
- Table: Mobile Contract Wins
- Mobile Operator Data
- Table: Market
- Table: Mobiltel
- Table: Globul
- Table Vivacom
- Mobile Content
- Regional Outlook
- Table: Mobile Broadband Subscriptions By Operator
- Top 10 Sites By Visits On Opera Mini-browser, Select Countries In CEE
- Country Outlook
- Value-Added Services Timeline
- Table: VAS Timeline
- Fixed Line
- Broadband
- Cable
- WiMAX
- IPTV And FTTx
- Mobile Broadband
- Wireline (Fixed-Line & Broadband) Developments
- Table: Wireline Developments (2008-2010)
Regulatory Environment
- Table: Bulgaria Regulatory Bodies And Responsibilities
- Legislation
- Regulatory Developments
- Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
- Key Players
- Table: Key Players: Bulgaria Telecoms Sector
- Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2003-2009
Company Monitor
- Ericsson Has Company Going Local In Skolkovo
Operator Profiles
- Vivacom
- Mobiltel(M-Tel)
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
- Fixed Line
- Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
- Broadband
- Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
- Mobile
- Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Bulgaria Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=3847...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.
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Source:Fast Market Research, Inc.
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Tags:Mobile, Subscriber, Operators
Industry:Telecom
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