And it’s getting even better because spacecraft with transponders capable of 100 Gbps-plus (total throughput) overall bandwidths will be launched over the next few years. Examples include ViaSat1 (130Gbps), several Inmarsat satellites, Jupiter 1, MegaSat and Hylas2. Major OEMs such as Boeing, EADS Astrium and Space-Systems Loral (SS Loral) are building these spacecraft. An even more advanced concept is enshrined in the European Space Agency’s (ESA’s) proposed “TeraBit” satellite which is currently slated for launch in the 2017 to 2020 time frame. This development is planned to take place within the ARTES program and, when in place will enable subscribers to access the Internet at the blazingly fast rate of around 200 Mbps. TeraBit would utilize the Alphabus platform standard.
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The K/Ka microwave and millimeter-wave bands are currently used with the downlinks centered around 20 GHz and the uplinks centered around 30 GHz – but TeraBit would use the much higher (and much more technologically demanding) Q and V-bands. This new report from Engalco provides extensive data on shipments, average selling prices and total available market data for the ground-based (consumer) transceivers, covering the 2010 to 2019 time scale. B-SAT1 segments eleven geographic regions and also the following three overall consolidated groups:
• Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East and N. Africa, Central Europe, Western Europe (collectively termed “”Europe, Middle East and Africa” or “EMEA”).
• South East Asia, China and N.E. Asia, South Asia, Russia and Central Asia.
• Oceana and Pacific, Latin America and North America.
Summarized, the results of Engalco’s research indicate that global shipments amounted to just over one-third of a million in 2010 and will increase to approach 2 billion in 2019. The total available (global) markets added to nearly $1.4 BN in 2010 and will increase at an average annual rate of 9.6% to reach almost $3.2 BN in 2019. There are however substantial regional variations in terms of both absolute values and monetary growth rates. In 2010 the Americas enjoyed the bulk of the market with a share of 74% - mainly due to the US but by 2019 Engalco predicts the pattern will have changed radically.
Annual growth rates are highest for regions such as China and N.E. Asia (often exceeding 20%) whilst some of the smaller regions see a slow decline in market values – principally due to price erosion over the years. As might be expected most volume production is through sub-contract manufacturers based in China.
Methodology and Testimonials/
The research toward this report was conducted over the period late-2010 through to late-spring 2011.
Engalco is responsible for generating its own market data, including forecasts, by a series of careful and robust processes. First and foremost amongst these processes is the detailed contacting we operate with key executives within the industry — international manufacturers as well as distributor companies. We also apply a rigorous appraisal of the market dynamics in terms of the influences of likely future events and trends. And we always start with obtaining details of all identifiable end-user contracts and developments, i.e. we mainly use a top-down approach. Under this activity we include the probable emergence of disruptive technologies and changes affecting end-user sectors that would impact sales of the various types of products. We took as the basis the 2010 broadband subscriber data published by Euroconsult but we modified these data to reflect more recent events. All aspects are studied and reported upon in depth.
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