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"Philippines Power Report Q3 2011" is now available at Fast Market Research

New Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

 
PRLog - Jul. 22, 2011 - The new Philippines Power Report from BMI forecasts that the country's power consumption is expected to rise from 60.5TWh in 2010 to 102.3TWh by the end of the forecast period, representing average annual growth of 5.4% in 2011-2020. After power industry usage and system losses, we see a surplus supply rising from the estimated 7.1TWh level seen in 2010 to 10.6TWh by 2020, assuming 5.3% average annual growth in power generation during the period.

The Philippines' power generation in 2010 is put by BMI at 67.5TWh, having risen sharply from the 2009 level of 59.2TWh. BMI is forecasting an average 5.9% annual increase to 89.9TWh between 2011 and 2015. Thermal generation, comprising coal, gas and oil, is expected to increase by 5.8% per annum during the period to 2015, but growth looks set to slow later in the decade.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/208376_philippines_power_repor...
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BMI believes that the country will account for 1% of Asia Pacific regional power generation by 2015. Regional power generation in 2011 is forecasted to be 6,466TWh, representing an increase of 5.6% from the previous year. We forecast an increase in regional generation to 8,213TWh by 2015, representing a rise of 27% between 2011 and 2015.

We expect gas-fired power generation to climb 9.1% per annum between 2011 and 2015, with an average annual growth rate of 8.2% forecast to 2020. Gas-fired generation should therefore reach 35.2TWh by 2015 and 50.0TWh by 2020. The total share of gas in the Philippines' power generation should therefore increase from 34% to 44% by the end of the forecast period. Oil will remain a relatively significant part of the Philippines' power generation mix, although its market share is likely to fall appreciably during the forecast period, as several new gas facilities are being built. Over the longer term, the conversion of older oil plants to gas should mean that oil takes a smaller slice of the power pie.

Coal-fired generation will have accounted for 30.2% of the country's total generation in 2010, according to BMI estimates. We expect the fuel's market share to be 25.9% by 2015, firing a projected 23.3TWh. By 2020, coal's share of generation is forecast at 22.5%, representing 25.4TWh. The current national energy plan calls for an increase in overall hydro-power capacity from 3.2GW to almost 4GW by 2014 through the development of all viable small and mini-hydro plants. BMI is predicting 11.6TWh of hydropower generation by 2015, accounting for a potential 12.9% of total generation.

The Philippines now shares 10th place with South Korea in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, in spite of a relatively high level of renewables usage. Country risk factors offset some of the industry strength, but the country should be able to keep Hong Kong at bay and potentially overtake South Korea during the next few quarters.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Philippines Power SWOT
Global Industry Overview
- Table: Total Generation Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Total Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (MW)
Regional Industry Overview
- Asia Pacific Region
- Table: Total Generation Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (MW)
- Table: Nuclear Power In Asia
Philippines Market Overview
- Regulation And Competition
- Table: As of May 2010, PSALM had sold the following generating assets:
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Asia Pacific Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Asia Regional Power Business Environment Ratings
- Philippines' Power Rating
- Rewards
- Risks
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Philippines Total Generation Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Total Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Trade Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Total Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Philippines Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (MW)
- Table: Philippines Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (MW)    
- Philippines' Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-electric
- Renewable Energy
- Transmission
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
- As of May 2010, PSALM had sold the following generating assets:
- Napocor
- The National Transmission Corporation (TransCo)
- First Gen
- Aboitiz Power
- Ayala Corporation
- Mirant
- Meralco
- EDC
- AES
Company Monitor
- First Gen
Glossary Of Terms
- Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Data Methodology - Generation And Consumption Data
- Data Methodology - Electricity Generation Capacity Data
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

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Source:Fast Market Research
Phone:1.800.844.8156
Zip:01267
State/Province:Massachusetts - United States
Industry:Energy, Industrial, Research
Tags:generation, thermal, Asia, electricity, Energy, 2011-2015, surplus, accounting, ped, renewable
Shortcut:prlog.org/11595023
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