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Recently released market study: Venezuela Power Report Q3 2011

New Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

 
PRLog - Jul. 20, 2011 - This newly published Venezuela Power Report from BMI forecasts that the country's power consumption will increase from an estimated 89.1TWh in 2010 to 114.3TWh by the end of the forecast period, assuming 2.5% average annual growth. After power industry usage and system losses, we see a theoretical supply surplus rising from the estimated 27.6TWh level seen in 2010 to 36.4TWh by 2020, assuming 2.6% average annual growth in power generation during the period.

Venezuela's power generation in 2010 is put by BMI at 116.7TWh, having fallen 5.4% from the 2009 level. BMI is forecasting an average 2.9% annual increase, to 134.6TWh, between 2011 and 2015. Thermal generation, comprising coal, gas and oil, is expected to grow by 2.1% per annum during the period to 2015, but growth looks set to slow later in the decade.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/208383_venezuela_power_report_...
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We expect gas-fired power generation to climb 1.9% per annum between 2011 and 2015, with an average annual growth rate of 1.5% forecast to 2020. Gas-fired generation should therefore reach 25.6TWh by 2015 and 27.1TWh by 2020. The share of total power generation should therefore decrease from 20.0% to 19.0% by 2015, easing to 18.0% by 2020. Gas currently powers around half of Venezuela's thermal generation. Oil will remain a significant part of the Venezuelan power generation mix, in spite of the country's ambitions to maximise exports and cap domestic consumption. It currently accounts for around 13.8% of total generation, easing to 13.5% by 2015 thanks to greater gas and hydro expansion. We believe there will be no more than 18TWh of oil-fired power generation by the end of the forecast period.

Hydro-electricity provides the bulk of Venezuela's electricity supply. The Caroni River in Guayana state is the main focus of the country's hydro-power production. Generator Edelca operates the 8.9GW Guri (Raul Leoni) facility on the Caroni, the third biggest hydro-electric plant in the world, after China's Three Gorges Dam and Itaipu on the Paraguay/Brazil border. Edelca also operates the 2.9GW Macagua and the 2.2GW Caruachi facilities, both on the Caroni. Edelca is currently building a fourth plant on the Caroni, the 2.2GW Tocoma dam, with completion scheduled for 2012.

Venezuela is ranked last, behind even Mexico, in BMI's updated power sector Business Environment Ratings, in spite of its considerable generating capacity and low level of energy import dependency. The underdeveloped competitive landscape, regulatory issues and asset renationalisation conspire with country risk factors to deliver a particularly low score that may be insufficient even over the longer term to allow Venezuela to challenge Mexico.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Venezuela Power SWOT
Global Industry Overview
- Global Table: Total Generation Data (TWh)
- Global Table: Total Consumption Data (TWh)
- Global Table: Total Electricity Generating Capacity Data (MW)
Regional Industry Overview
- Table: Total Generation Forecasts, TWh
- Table: Total Consumption Forecasts, TWh
- Table: Electricity Generation Capacity Forecasts, TWh
Market Overview
- Regulation And Competition
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Latin America Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Latin America Power Business Environment Ratings
- Venezuela's Power Rating
- Rewards
- Risks
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Venezuela Total Generation Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Total Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Trade Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Total Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Consumption by Energy Sector Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Consumption by Energy Sector Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Venezuela Electricity Generation Capacity And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (MW)
- Table: Venezuela Electricity Generation Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2012-2020 (MW)
- Venezuela's Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-Electric
- Renewable Energy
- Transmission
- Assumptions And Methodology
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
- Edelca
- EDC
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Power Industry
- Cross Checks
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

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Source:Fast Market Research
Phone:1.800.844.8156
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State/Province:Massachusetts - United States
Industry:Energy, Industrial, Research
Tags:generation, 2010-2015, thermal, electricity, Energy, america, Nuclear, ped, thanks, 2015-2020
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