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"Australia Agribusiness Report Q3 2011" is now available at Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research recommends "Australia Agribusiness Report Q3 2011" from Business Monitor International, now available

 
PRLog - Jul. 19, 2011 - BMI View: We expect Australian agriculture to see growth across the board in 2010/11 on the back of better yields and overall fair weather. Indeed, the wettest year on record in 2010 should boost yields and output significantly of numerous agriculture commodities such as rice, cotton, livestock and dairy over the next two years. We foresee further consolidation in the agriculture sector, especially in the sugar and grains industries, as there have been various company activities on that front.

Key Forecasts

* Sugar Production growth to 2014/15: 5.6% to 4.9mn tonnes. Increased consolidation in the industry should allow for increased economies of scale.
* Beef Consumption growth to 2015: 0.04% to 755,100 tonnes. Most consumption growth will stem from population increases as Australia already has a relatively high meat consumption per capita.
* Milk production growth to 2014/15: 15.3% to 10.8mn tonnes. and consumption growth to 2015: 7.9%. Consumption growth will be driven mainly by population growth, since at close to 110kg per year, Australia already has one of the highest global per capita milk consumption rates.
* 2011 Real GDP Growth: 2.4% (down from 2.5% in 2010; predicted to average 2.8% from 2010 to 2015).
* 2011 Real Interest Rate (% ave): 5.8% (Up from 5.6% in 2010).

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/208342_australia_agribusiness_...
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Industry Developments

Strong milk production this year will mark a significant turnabout from the previous years' poor production performance. Indeed, we are forecasting fluid milk output to grow by 1.4% and 2.7% to 9.5mn tonnes and 9.9mn tonnes in 2010/11 and 2011/12 respectively. These growth rates are markedly higher than the average growth rate of -2.6% between 2002/03 and 2009/10. We believe that this improvement in milk production comes on the back of better pasture conditions after the record floods in Australia in Q110. In northern Victoria and southern New South Wales, where the dairy industry is concentrated, fodder availability and pasture conditions have been positive, thus boosting milk yields and reinforcing our outlook.

Recent activity in the sugar sector reinforces our earlier view that the Australian sugar industry will continue to undergo consolidation in the coming years. In the week of May 16 2011, high-profile bids from China's state-owned COFCO, US agribusiness giant Bunge and local canegrowers' cooperative Mackay Sugar for farmer-owned sugar miller Tully Sugar came hot on the heels of the sale of Australia's largest sugar business Sucrogen to Wilmar in 2010, as well as Thai sugar giant Mitr Phol's 19.9% stake in Maryborough Sugar for an approximate 65% premium over the Australian company's share price. In Tully's case, both COFCO and Bunge have offered AUD43 per share against Mckay's AUD41 per share, valuing the company at around AUD130-133mn (US$136-141mn). Shareholders in Tully recently had strongly voted to increase 20% ownership limit to 50.1%, as Queensland Sugar holds the existing 20% stake.

Since the airing of the video footage showing live imported Australian cattle in Indonesia being physically abused before slaughter, Australian authorities have restricted live cattle exports to Indonesia effective June 6. According to reports, the country will only supply cattle to 25 World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE)-accredited Indonesian meat processing facilities. This equates to a 60% cut in the total number of live cattle exports to the South East Asian country, which is the dominant buyer of Australian cattle.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Australia Agricultural SWOT
- Australia Political SWOT
- Australia Economic SWOT
- Australia Business Environment SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Australia Grains Outlook
- Table: Australia - Wheat Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Corn Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Barley Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Sorghum Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Wheat Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Corn Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Barley Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Sorghum Production & Consumption
- Australia Sugar Outlook
- Table: Australia - Sugar Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Sugar Production & Consumption
- Australia Dairy Outlook
- Table: Australia - Milk Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Butter Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Cheese Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Milk Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Butter Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Cheese Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption
- Australia Livestock Outlook
- Table: Australia - Poultry Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Pork Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Beef & Veal Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Poultry Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Pork Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Beef & Veal Production & Consumption
- Australia Rice Outlook
- Table: Australia - Rice Production & Consumption
- Table: Australia - Rice Production & Consumption
Commodity Price Analysis
- Monthly Softs Update
- Cocoa
- Table: Cocoa
- Coffee
- Table: Coffee
- Milk
- Table: Milk
- Sugar
- Table: Sugar
- Grains Update
- Corn
- Table: Corn
- Rice
- Table: Rice
- Soybean
- Table: Soybean
- Wheat
- Table: Wheat
Downstream Supply Chain Analysis
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Outlook
- Food
- Food Consumption
- Table: Food Consumption Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=2083...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

# # #

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

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