Market Report, "Romania Telecommunications Report Q3 2011", published

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Romania Telecommunications Report Q3 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research
 
July 6, 2011 - PRLog -- BMI's Q311 update of the Romania Telecommunications Report contains analysis of the market data from the major fixed telephony, broadband and mobile service providers up to Q111. It also contains data released by the regulator, as well as updated forecasts for the mobile, fixed telephony and broadband markets sectors through to 2015. The Q311 report is also the first quarterly to contain BMI's ARPU forecasts for operators and the wider market through to 2015.

Incumbent Romtelecom continues to report fixed-line losses in Q111, down 5.3% y-o-y as fixed-to-mobile substitution has continued. The incumbent and alternative operators are also under pressure from cable TV operators and VoIP service providers alike. BMI forecasts the fixed-line market to decline progressively from 2010, falling to 4.125mn lines by 2015.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/204766_romania_telecommunications_report_q3_2011.aspx
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The Romanian mobile market experienced its largest ever fall in subscribers in Q111, with a net loss of 1.132mn subscriptions. The subscriber losses in Q111 followed net losses of subscribers from Q210 to Q111, although earlier quarters registered much smaller losses. It is also notable that Q111 was the first quarter in which all four operators reported subscriber losses. Vodafone reported the single largest subscriber losses of 607,000, as it continued to discount inactive SIMs. However, as all operators reported negative growth, we believe the wider macroeconomic conditions continued to have an impact alongside SIM discounting.

BMI had long held the view that the operators' reported results were built on a large number of inactive subscribers, so the process of deactivation helps provide a clearer picture of actual growth prospects as well as yielding ARPU figures that more closely reflect reality. Nevertheless, ARPUs are low and are still deteriorating as subscribers remain reluctant to access premium value-added services. Greater efforts are therefore needed to retain customers and persuade them to consume more data. Our forecasts have been raised slightly after being reined in last quarter; BMI now believes there will be 30.58mn mobile subscribers by 2015. By then, there will be 9.9mn 3G subscribers, accounting for 32% of the market.

The fixed segment has been boosted by continued deployment of xDSL and by cable operators upgrading their networks in 2010. However, the number of mobile broadband subscribers passed that of fixed-line broadband connections during 2010, and BMI believes that there were 6.701mn subscribers in total at the end of 2010, a penetration rate of 31.2%. Despite registering growth, consolidation in the cable sector is resulting in the loss of some cable broadband subscribers, while IPTV and over-the-top (OTT) video services are stealing customers away from smaller players. Mobile broadband is now the primary growth engine in the broadband sector, but we believe this segment will lose impetus before the end of our forecast period as operators will find it increasingly difficult to migrate subscribers to the more costly platforms and as they encounter difficulties in extending services into rural and underserved areas.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Romania Mobile Industry SWOT
- Romania Fixed-Line And Broadband Industry SWOT
- Romania Political SWOT
- Romania Economic SWOT
- Romania Business Environment SWOT
- Central And Eastern Europe
- Central And Eastern Europe Business Environment Ratings, Q311
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Mobile
- Table: Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
- ARPU
- Table: ARPU - Historical Data And Forecasts
- Fixed Line
- Table: Fixed Line - Historical Data And Forecasts
- Internet
- Table: Internet - Historical Data And Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
- Mobile
- Market Share
- Table: Romanian Mobile Market, March 2011
- Net Additions
- Table: Comparison Of Romanian Operators' Net Additions ('000) Q109-Q111
- Subscriber Mix
- ARPU
- Network Coverage
- Mobile Termination Rates
- 3G
- Mobile Contract Wins
- Table: Mobile Contract Wins
- Mobile Content
- Regional Outlook
- Country Outlook
- Table: SMS, MMS And 3G Video Call Traffic In Romania
- Content
- Value-Added Services Timeline
- Table: Selected VAS Services
- Mobile Operator Data
- Table: Total Market Romania
- Table: Orange
- Table: Vodafone
- Table: Cosmote Romania
- Table: DigiMobil
- Fixed Line
- Competition
- Broadband
- Table: Number Of Active ISPs, 2008-2010
- Table: Companies Interested In WiMAX Licence Tender
- Wireline (Fixed-Line & Broadband) Developments
- Table: Wireline Developments 2008-2011
Regulatory Environment
- Legislation And Market Liberalisation
- Regulation
- Licensing And Spectrum
- Market Development
- Recent Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
- Key Players
- Table: Key Players: Romanian Telecoms Markets
- Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators
Company Monitor
- Samsung
- Table: Samsung CEE 4G Contracts
Company Profiles
- Romtelecom
- Cosmote Romania
- Vodafone Romania
- Orange Romania
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
- Fixed Line
- Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
- Broadband
- Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
- Mobile Overview
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=2047...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

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For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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