Recently released market study: Indonesia Retail Report Q3 2011

New Retailing research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
 
May 25, 2011 - PRLog -- The Q311 BMI Indonesia Retail Report forecasts that the country's retail sales will grow from IDR1.39trn (US$134.04bn) in 2011 to IDR2.32trn (US$223.90bn) by 2015. Strong underlying economic growth, the world's fourth largest population (which is growing), rising per-capita incomes and the continued development of organised retail infrastructure are key factors behind the substantial growth forecast in Indonesian retail sales.

Indonesia's nominal GDP is forecast to be US$810.4bn in 2011, and BMI predicts average annual GDP growth of 6.1% through to 2015. With the population forecast to increase from 235.7mn in 2011 to 247.5mn by 2015, GDP per capita is predicted to grow 63% by the end of the period, reaching US$5,631.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/158424_indonesia_retail_report_q3_2011.aspx
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Tourism plays a large part in the health of the Indonesian retail industry, with Bali - the jewel in the country's tourism crown - generating 30% of national tourist revenue, an estimated US$3bn a year.

Increasing access to credit among domestic consumers is also a boon to the industry, with data from Bank Indonesia (BI) showing that a total of 13.22mn credit cards were in circulation in the country to October 2010, up from 12.13mn to October 2009.

Food consumption is forecast to be US$69.87bn in 2011, rising to an expected US$110.61bn by 2015, an increase of 58.3%. The mass grocery retail (MGR) sector, which is still developing, will achieve even more substantial growth - BMI forecasts sales will rise by 68.8% to US$12.15bn by 2015 on the back of the formation of a larger, high-spending middle class with the disposable income and the inclination to shop in modern retail outlets.

Other retail sub-sectors forecast to show healthy growth over the period include over-the-counter (OTC) pharmaceuticals, with sales forecast to grow by 55.3%, from US$1.87bn in 2011 to US$2.91bn by 2015.

Automotive sales are expected to increase by 36.0%, from US$11.68bn in 2011 to US$15.89bn towards the end of the forecast period; with aggregate levels of car ownership of just 1.3%, there is considerable scope for expansion.

Consumer electronic sales are predicted to rise by 57.4%, from US$8.41bn in 2011 to US$13.24bn by the end of the forecast period. A projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13% is expected to be one of the highest in the region; while computer sales are predicted to show faster growth than almost anywhere in the ASEAN over the next few years, albeit from a lower base.

Retail sales for the BMI universe of Asian countries in 2011 are a forecast US$3.05trn. China and India are predicted to account for nearly 91% of regional retail sales in 2011, and by 2015 their share of the regional market is expected to be almost 92%. Growth in regional retail sales for 2011-2015 is forecast by BMI at 75.2%, an annual average 14.9%. India should experience the most rapid rate of growth, followed by China. China's forecast 2011 market share of 77.6% is expected to decline slightly to 77.2% by 2015. Indonesia's forecast market share of 4.4% in 2011 is expected to decrease slightly, to 4.2%, by 2015.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Indonesia Retail Business Environment SWOT
- Indonesia Political SWOT
- Indonesia Economic SWOT
Market Overview
- Current Trends
- Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Retail Growth Outlook
- Table: Indonesia Retail Sales Indicators, 2008-2015
- Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2011f
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Indonesia Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Regional Retail Outlook
- Asia Pacific Retail Outlook
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2008-2015 (US$bn)
- Table: Asia Food Consumption, 2008-2015 (US$$bn)
- Table: Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Outlook, 2008-2015
Business Environment Outlook
- Asia Pacific Retail Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Business Environment Ratings
- Indonesia's Retail Rating
- Limits To Potential Returns
- Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Mass Grocery Retail
- Indonesia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Table: Structure of Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Estimated Number of Outlets by Format
- Table: Structure of Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Sales by Format (IDRbn)
- Table: Structure of Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector - Sales by Format (US$mn)
- Table: Average Annual Sales by Format - 2009
- Table: Indonesia Mass Grocery Retail Store Breakdown by Region - 2008*
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Indonesia Mass Grocery Retail Sales by Format
- Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format (%) - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics
- Indonesia Consumer Electronics SWOT
- Market Overview
- Computers
- Table: Computer Spending By Sector (Estimate)
- Table: Computer Sales
- AV
- Table: AV Sales
- Mobile Handsets
- Table: Mobile Telephone Industry Sales
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview
- Industry Developments
Automotives
- Indonesia Autos Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Indonesia: Top 10 Vehicle Sales By Brand
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Production and Sales
- Indonesia Automotive Market: Historical Data And Forecasts
- Trade
- Table: Indonesia Automotive Market - Historical Data And Forecasts
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1584...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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