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Market Report, "India Agribusiness Report Q3 2011", published

Fast Market Research recommends "India Agribusiness Report Q3 2011" from Business Monitor International, now available

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

 
PRLog (Press Release) - May 24, 2011 - BMI View: Expectations for another normal monsoon in 2011 bolster our outlook for healthy crop production for 2010/11 and 2011/12 for certain crops. This should also help ease food price inflation concerns, an issue which took center stage in Q410 and early 2011. Crops that should benefit the most are sugar, rice and wheat. In fact, the lifting of export bans for sugar, cotton and possibly, wheat in the near term indicate abundant domestic supplies for these crops.

In the longer term, although the government has laid down plans to improve efficiencies in the agricultural sector, we are not confident that these efforts will translate into significant gains in production across the board given the unconsolidated nature of the industry and also poor infrastructure. For example, we see the country becoming a net importer of poultry by 2014/15.

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Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/158426_india_agribusiness_repo...
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Key Trends

* Coffee production growth to 2014/15: 117.7% to 5.6mn bags. This increase will come from growing consumption and also more private investment into the sector.
 * Milk consumption growth to 2015: 30.3% to 59.2mn tonnes. With a growing middle class and rising incomes, we expect demand growth for milk to be strong over our forecast period.
 * Corn production growth to 2014/15: 36.7% to 22.7mn tonnes. Production growth will be driven by increasing demand for feed from the livestock sector, as rising incomes allow Indian consumers to eat more meat, especially poultry but also buffalo meat, for which consumption is also increasing.
 * 2011 Real GDP Growth: 7.8% (down from 8.6% in 2010; predicted to average 7.9% from 2011 until 2015).
 * Consumer Price Inflation: 10.0% average in 2011 (down from 12.4% y-o-y average in 2010).


Industry Developments

We believe that there is significant upside potential for the Indian coffee industry on the back of recent investments into the sector. Major coffee companies such as Lavazza, Starbucks andTata Coffee have also started to significantly expand into the Indian coffee sector. Coffee and food consumption sales have risen 44.5% and 22.4% between 2005 and 2010 and we expect growth of 21.6% and 15.9% out to 2012 respectively. These robust figures bolster our bullish outlook for the sector overall.

India's dairy market size in value terms, including the organised and unorganised sector, is estimated at US$47.6bn and has been growing at nearly 7.5% annually. Presently, the country is still able to largely meet its domestic demand and is only marginally dependent on dairy imports. However, given the strong rate of consumption growth, which has been led in part by rising incomes, demand will soon outstrip supply, very likely causing India to become more dependent on imports. Already, we forecast the butter production balance to run into deficit in 2011/12.

BMI believes that the trend of a widening production deficit for palm oil is deeply entrenched and should ensure strong imports of the edible oil in the foreseeable future. While we note that CPO imports in January and February have come in below the 2007-2010 average, we believe that this is a seasonal trend and expect imports to pick up again in H211.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- India Agricultural SWOT
- India Political SWOT
- India Economic SWOT
- India Business Environment SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
- India Soybean Outlook
- Table: India - Soybean Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Soybean Production, Consumption & Trade
- India Grains Outlook
- Table: India - Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Sorghum Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Sorghum Production, Consumption & Trade
- India Dairy Outlook
- Table: India - Milk Production & Consumption
- Table: India - Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Milk Production & Consumption
- Table: India - Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
- India Sugar Outlook
- Table: India - Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
- India Livestock Outlook
- Table: India - Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
- India Rice Outlook - Q3 2011
- Table: India - Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
- Table: India - Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
- India Coffee Outlook
- Table: India - Coffee Production & Consumption
- Table: India - Coffee Production & Consumption
- India Palm Oil Outlook
- Table: India - Palm Oil Production & Consumption
- Table: India - Palm Oil Production & Consumption
Competitive Landscape
- Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders
- Table: Agribusiness Suppliers
- Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers
Commodity Price Analysis
- Monthly Softs Update
- Cocoa
- Table: Cocoa
- Coffee
- Table: Coffee
- Milk
- Table: Milk
- Sugar
- Table: Sugar
- Grains Update
- Corn
- Table: Corn
- Rice
- Table: Rice
- Soybean
- Table: Soybean
- Wheat
- Table: Wheat
Downstream Supply Chain Analysis
- Industry Forecast Scenario

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=1584...

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

# # #

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

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