According to the CSU, the hurricane forecast team's probabilities for a major hurricane making landfall on U.S. soil in 2011 indicate:
- A 72 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2011 (the long-term average probability is 52 percent).
- A 48 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula (the long-term average is 31 percent).
- A 47 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville (the long-term average is 30 percent).
The team also predicts a 61 percent chance of a major hurricane tracking into the Caribbean (the long-term average is 42 percent).
"Long Island is overdue for a hurricane and it's just a matter of time before the east coast gets impacted once again," said Gary Matzelle of Advanced Restoration Corporation. "Remember the last major hurricane to hit Long Island was back in 1938, dubbed the Long Island Express," Matzelle said. "Case studies have shown that the next time a storm similar to the Long Island Express impacts Long Island, it might be the greatest disaster in U.S. history."
History shows that a lack of hurricane awareness and preparation are common threads among all major hurricane disasters. By identifying vulnerabilities and what actions are available to take, an individual can reduce the effects of a hurricane disaster.
The CSU’s annual predictions are intended to provide a best estimate of activity to be experienced during the upcoming season, not an exact measure. "Being informed and prepared is essential to staying safe during a hurricane, particularly along the coastal areas," Matzelle said.
Hurricane Preparedness Week during 2011 will be held May 22nd through May 28th.
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Advanced Restoration Corporation is a full-service property damage/disaster restoration company with a combined 75 years experience in dealing with Fire & Smoke Damage, Water Damage, Flood & Storm Damage, Mold Remediation and Reconstruction. Website: http://advancedrestoration.li