Market Report, "Indonesia Freight Transport Report Q2 2011", published

New Transportation market report from Business Monitor International: "Indonesia Freight Transport Report Q2 2011"
 
April 6, 2011 - PRLog -- BMI believes the economic fundamentals are looking good for Indonesia, boding well for the country's shipping sector. Private consumption and investment growth will continue to power the economy in 2011 as Indonesia embarks on what we project will be a decade of robust economic growth averaging around 6.4% per year. The factors driving the Indonesian shipping and port sector will be increasing investment in the intra-Asia route as international companies search for new markets while consumer demand in the US and Europe remains sluggish, and private consumption, which will be boosted by growing consumer confidence and declining unemployment rates.

Headline Industry Forecasts

* Air freight volumes are predicted to be up 3.4% in 2011, with an average growth of 6.64% during our forecast period.
 * Rail freight volumes are estimated to rise 1.08% in 2011, with an average growth of 1.25% during our forecast period.
 * Tanjung Priok total tonnage is predicted to rise 5.5% in 2011, with an average growth of 5.23% over our forecast period.
 * Palembang total tonnage is predicted to rise 5.57% in 2011, with an average growth of 5.57% over our forecast period.


Key Trends

Infrastructure Failings Undermine Indonesia's Intra-Asian Trade Potential

BMI believes Indonesia must improve its port infrastructure if it is to capitalise on increasing intra-Asia trade. Plans for a new cargo port at Jakarta are a positive step, but we note that other ports also need work to increase competitiveness and efficiency. The Indonesian government is in talks with the Japanese Bank for International Cooperation about plans to build a new cargo port near Jakarta.

Chinese Investment May Prevent Indonesian Port Sector From Missing The Intra-Asia Boat

BMI believes a plan by the Indonesian government to attract Chinese investment is a positive step for the country's underdeveloped port sector. At a recent seminar on the prospects for Indonesia-China relations, Indonesia's Minister for Industry and Trade Coordination, Edy Putra Irawady, announced that the government had prepared a blueprint for a national logistics system covering the development of ports and shipbuilding businesses. He said Chinese investment would allow the plan could go ahead.

Risks To Outlook

On the downside, a risk to our outlook presents itself in the possibility that the country's transport infrastructure, particularly its ports, will not be able to handle the increasing levels of traffic on the intra- Asia route if sufficient investments are not made. Indonesia's main ports suffer from congestion and low efficiency levels, raising the fear that lines could avoid the port, calling at more competitive neighbouring facilities.

The main upside risk to our outlook presents itself in the form of growing domestic consumer demand on the back of declining unemployment rates, which bodes well for container imports, and for investment in transport links.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
-  http://www.fastmr.com/prod/130589_indonesia_freight_trans...


Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Indonesia Freight Transport Industry SWOT
- Indonesia Political SWOT
- Indonesia Economic SWOT
- Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
- Air
- Road
- Rail
- Maritime
Industry Trends And Developments
- Rail
- Air
- Maritime
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
- Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q410-Q411 (US$/bbl)
- Table: Oil Product Price Data And Forecasts, 2008-2015 (US$/bbl)
Industry Forecast
- Macroeconomic
- Air Freight
- Table: Air Freight, 2008-2015
- Rail Freight
- Table: Rail Freight, 2008-2015
- Maritime
- Table: Maritime Freight - Throughput, 2008-2015 ('000 tonnes)
- Trade
- Table: Trade Overview, 2008-2015
- Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2009-2015 (US$mn and % change y-o-y)
- Table: Indonesia's Main Import Partners, 2002-2008 (US$mn)
- Table: Indonesia's Main Export Partners, 2002-2008 (US$mn)
Company Profiles
- Garuda Indonesia
- PT Kereta Api (PT KAI)
- PT Jasa Marga (Persero)
Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2000-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR)
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Transport Industry
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets.  BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports.  Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.  View more research from Business Monitor International at http://www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
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Tags:Port, Investment, Indonesian, Intra-asia, Infrastructure, Freight, Transport, Shipping, Route, Presents
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